Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers Prediction 2/7/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (16-6) travel to face off against the Auburn Tigers (18-4) on Wednesday, February 7th. This game will be played at Neville Arena in Auburn and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Auburn Tigers

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama comes into this game as the underdog, a role they have not been in often this season. They are 1-4 as the underdog, compared to 15-2 as the favorite. On the road, the Crimson Tide are 5-5 this season, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games away from home.

With a win in their last game, Alabama has now won four straight games. On the season, they are 16-6, and their record in Southeastern Conference games is 8-1.

Alabama’s ATS mark for the season is 14-8, and they are 4-6 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 road games, the Crimson Tide are 4-6 vs. the spread.

The over/under record for Alabama sits at 15-7 this season. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 163.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 174 points compared to the season average of 165. Today’s line is higher than the average OU line in their games of 159.8. This year, 16 of their games have had a lower over/under line than today’s OU line.

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into tonight’s matchup against Alabama, Auburn is 11-0 at home this season. Over their last ten games at Auburn Arena, the Tigers have gone a perfect 10-0.

On the year, Auburn is 18-4, including a 7-2 mark in Southeastern Conference play. They are currently riding a two-game winning streak, and they have been favored in 21 of their 22 games this season.

As the favorite, Auburn has gone 14-7 vs. the spread this season and 8-2 over their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Tigers have an ATS mark of 7-4 this year and are 7-3 ATS over their last 10 home games.

So far this season, Auburn games have an over/under record of 8-14 and today’s line of 163.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.9). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 141 points.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

The Alabama offense is coming off a game in which they scored 99 points vs. Mississippi State. Overall their field goal percentage was 44.6% while connecting on 15 threes. Mark Sears was the leading scorer for the Crimson Tide, putting up 21 points. In addition, Aaron Estrada contributed 15 points.

Mark Sears (G) 20.1 4.0 3.9
Aaron Estrada (G) 12.8 5.1 3.9
Grant Nelson (F) 12.1 5.8 1.8

Auburn Offense Breakdown

Auburn recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 91 points against Ole Miss. This output exceeded their season average of 82.4 points per game. The top scorer for the Tigers was Jaylin Williams with 16 points, while Johni Broome also chipped in with 15 points.

Johni Broome (F) 15.7 8.8 2.0
Jaylin Williams (F) 12.7 5.2 2.1
Chad Baker (G) 9.4 3.3 2.0

Alabama Team Defense

At present, the Crimson Tide’s defense is nationally ranked 239th, allowing 75.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Alabama’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.5% this season.

Auburn Team Defense

So far, the Tigers’ defense is ranked 42nd in the country at 65.9 points per contest. The Auburn defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Ole Miss to connect on 8 threes.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Trends

  • Alabama has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 79 points per game while allowing 80. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last three games at home, the Tigers have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 74 points per game in this stretch.
  • The last three games that Alabama was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Tigers have a straight up record of 9-1 and an ATS mark of 8-2.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Tigers, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Tigers at -5.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 163.5 and our model has the Crimson Tide and Tigers finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.