Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson vs Mississippi State Prediction 1/29/2025

The Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4) on Wednesday, January 29th. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama Crimson Tide Recent Game/Games

Alabama improved to 17-3 on the season with an 80-73 home win over LSU on Saturday. Despite being -17.5 point favorites, the Crimson Tide didn’t cover the spread.

After a 40-40 tie at halftime, Alabama held LSU to 33 points in the second half while scoring 40 of their own. The game’s total points of 153 fell short of the 167.5 O/U line.

The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State improved to 16-4 on the season with a 65-60 win over South Carolina on Saturday. The Bulldogs, who were -7.5 favorites, didn’t cover the spread in the victory. The game’s total points of 125 fell short of the O/U line of 138.5.

Mississippi State led 28-20 at halftime but allowed 35 points in the 2nd half while scoring 27 of their own.

Crimson Tide Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 30.4% from beyond the arc, hitting 7 of 23 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.2%, with a strong showing at the free-throw line, converting 19 of 24 for 79.2%.

Jordan Sears led the way with 21 points and 6 assists, shooting 50% overall despite going 1 for 6 from three. Aden Holloway added 19 points, hitting 3 of 8 from deep, while Cam Carter contributed 17 points, though he struggled from three, making just 1 of 7 attempts.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State struggled from beyond the arc in their last game, hitting just 6 of 26 threes for a 23.1% shooting percentage. Overall, they shot 41.8% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 47.3%. Their two-point shooting was a bright spot, as they connected on 58.6% of their attempts inside the arc.

Jamarii Thomas led the Bulldogs with 19 points, while Riley Kugel added 15, hitting 3 of 5 from three-point range. KeShawn Murphy also contributed 13 points, shooting 66.7% from the field. Josh Hubbard and Arden Conyers each chipped in 12 points, with Hubbard also dishing out 5 assists.

Crimson Tide Team Defense

Alabama’s defense allowed 73 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field. They gave up 20 two-point baskets on 38 attempts, a 52% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Alabama’s opponents hit 7 of 23 threes, shooting 30%. They also went to the line 24 times, making 19 free throws for 79%. Alabama allowed 11 offensive rebounds.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Despite Alabama’s defensive efforts, they couldn’t stop their opponent from putting up 73 points. The Crimson Tide allowed a 44% shooting performance, with their opponent hitting 27 of 61 shots.

Alabama’s defense struggled inside, giving up 52% shooting on two-pointers, as their opponent went 20/38. From beyond the arc, Alabama held their opponent to 30% shooting, with 7 made threes on 23 attempts. They also sent their opponent to the line 24 times, where they converted 19 free throws for 79%.

Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs Trends

  • The Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Mississippi State has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 62 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bulldogs have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 3-7.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Crimson Tide have an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 against the spread.

Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +1.5, we recommend going with the Bulldogs on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 164.5, and our model projects the Crimson Tide and Bulldogs to reach a combined total of 147 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.