Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAB Betting Prediction

Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction 3/5/2025

The Florida Gators (25-4) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (23-6) on Wednesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on ESPN2. Florida is coming off a win in their previous game, while Alabama is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tennessee. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida improved to 25-4 on the season with an 89-70 win over Texas A&M on Saturday. The Gators, who were favored by 8.5 points, covered the spread at home. The game’s total points reached 159, surpassing the over/under line of 150.5.

Florida led 45-34 at halftime and continued their strong play in the second half, scoring 44 points while allowing 36.

The Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama Crimson Tide Recent Game/Games

Alabama’s record now stands at 23-6 after a 79-76 road loss to Tennessee on Saturday. The Crimson Tide entered the game as +4 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 155, just under the 160.5 O/U line.

Alabama led 42-38 at halftime but allowed 41 points in the second half while scoring 34. The loss highlights their need to tighten up defensively in the latter stages of games.

Gators Offense Breakdown

Florida’s offense put up 89 points in their last game, shooting 47.8% from the field and 42.4% from beyond the arc, with an effective field goal percentage of 58.2%. They also hit 11 of 16 free throws (68.8%) and grabbed 14 offensive rebounds, dishing out 21 assists as a team.

Will Richard led the way with 25 points, shooting 9 of 13 overall and 6 of 9 from three-point range. Thomas Haugh added 17 points, hitting 7 of 10 shots and 2 of 3 from deep, while Zhuric Phelps and Alijah Martin each contributed 16 and 14 points, respectively.

Crimson Tide Offense Breakdown

In their last game, Alabama put up 76 points, shooting 41.7% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 50%, and they hit 17 of 26 free throws, good for 65.4%.

Mark Sears led the way with 24 points, hitting 4 of 9 from deep, while Chaz Lanier and Jordan Gainey each added 18 points. The Crimson Tide grabbed 13 offensive rebounds and dished out 12 assists in the win.

Gators Team Defense

Florida’s defense gave up 70 points, allowing the opposing team to shoot 47% from the field on 32 of 67 attempts. Inside the arc, they shot 52%, hitting 18 of their 34 two-point attempts.

From three-point range, the opposition made 14 of 33 shots, good for 42%. They also went 11 of 16 from the free-throw line, shooting 68%. Florida allowed 14 offensive rebounds in the game.

Crimson Tide Team Defense

Florida gave up 70 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 47% from the field. They hit 32 of their 67 shots.

From three-point range, Florida’s defense allowed 14 threes on 33 attempts, a 42% shooting rate. They also sent the opposing team to the line 16 times, where they made 11 free throws.

Gators vs Crimson Tide Trends

  • Florida has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 81 points per game while allowing 73. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Although Alabama has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 92 points per game in these games.
  • The last five games that Florida was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Gators vs Crimson Tide Prediction

The Crimson Tide is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 77-70. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Crimson Tide at -3.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 177.5, and our model projects the Gators and Crimson Tide to reach a combined total of 147 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.