Indiana Hoosiers vs Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Prediction

Indiana Hoosiers vs Penn State Prediction 1/5/2025

The Indiana Hoosiers (11-3) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (12-2) on Sunday, January 5th. This game will be played at The Palestra in Philadelphia and televised on BTN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The Hoosiers Are Coming Off A Win

Indiana improved to 11-3 on the season with an 84-74 win over Rutgers on Thursday. The Hoosiers were -7.5 favorites going into the game and covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game hit 158, surpassing the O/U line of 153.5.

Indiana led 41-34 at halftime and added 43 points in the second half while allowing 40 points to the Scarlet Knights.

The Nittany Lions Are Coming Off A Win

Penn State improved to 12-2 on the season with an 84-80 win over Northwestern on Thursday. The Nittany Lions were favored by 4.5 points at home but didn’t cover the spread.

After leading 37-34 at halftime, Penn State scored 47 points in the 2nd half while allowing 46. The game’s total points of 164 went over the pre-game O/U line of 144.5.

Hoosiers Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, the Hoosiers put up 84 points, despite shooting just 38.9% from the field. They connected on 44.4% of their threes, hitting 12 of 27 attempts, while their two-point shooting was a mere 35.6% (16/45). Their effective field goal percentage was 47.2%, and they grabbed 18 offensive rebounds.

Ace Bailey led the way with 39 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 55.2% overall and 50% from three (4/8). Myles Rice added 21 points, while Oumar Ballo contributed 17 points and 12 rebounds. Trey Galloway hit 3 threes, shooting 50% from deep and dishing out 4 assists.

Nittany Lions Offense Breakdown

Penn State put up 84 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 54.5%, thanks to hitting 62.1% of their two-point attempts, though they struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 4 of 15 threes (26.7%).

At the free-throw line, the Nittany Lions made 36 of 45 attempts, good for 80%. Zach Hicks and Brooks Barnhizer each scored 20 points, with Barnhizer adding 11 rebounds and 8 assists. Ace Baldwin contributed 7 assists despite shooting just 1 of 7 from the field.

Hoosiers Team Defense

Even though Indiana held their opponent to 38% shooting, they still allowed 74 points. The Hoosiers did well inside, limiting the other team to 35% on two-point shots (16/45).

However, Indiana struggled to defend the three-point line, where their opponent hit 44% of their shots (12/27). The Hoosiers also sent them to the free-throw line 25 times, where they made 16 free throws.

Nittany Lions Team Defense

Indiana’s defense gave up 74 points in their last game, despite holding their opponent to 38% shooting from the field. The Hoosiers limited two-point shots, with their opponent making just 35% of their attempts (16/45).

From beyond the arc, Indiana allowed 12 threes on 27 attempts, a 44% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 16 for 64%. Indiana gave up 18 offensive rebounds.

Hoosiers vs Nittany Lions Trends

  • Although Indiana has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games at home, the Nittany Lions have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 72 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Hoosiers have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-3.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Nittany Lions have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 0-3 against the spread.

Hoosiers vs Nittany Lions Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Nittany Lions, with a final score of 77-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Nittany Lions at -6.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 156.5, and our model projects the Hoosiers and Nittany Lions to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.