Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAB Betting Prediction

Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Prediction 1/25/2025

The Kentucky Wildcats (14-4) travel to face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (15-4) on Saturday, January 25th. This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville and televised on ESPN. Both Kentucky and Vanderbilt will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 ET.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores

The Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Kentucky Wildcats Recent Game

Kentucky dropped to 14-4 on the season after a 102-97 loss to Alabama on Saturday. The Wildcats, who were -2.5 favorites at home, failed to cover the spread.

After trailing 47-45 at halftime, Kentucky scored 52 points in the second half but allowed 55. The game’s total points of 199 exceeded the O/U line of 178.5.

The Commodores Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Vanderbilt Commodores Recent Game/Games

Vanderbilt fell to 15-4 on the season after a 103-87 loss to Alabama on Tuesday. The Commodores were +12 underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 190, surpassing the over/under line of 168.5.

Vanderbilt trailed 48-31 at halftime but managed to put up 56 points in the second half. However, they also allowed 55 points in the second half, making it difficult to close the gap.

Wildcats Offense Breakdown

Kentucky put up 97 points in their latest game, shooting 47.9% from the field and 40.7% from three-point range, hitting 11 of 27 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 54.8%, and they were strong from the free-throw line, making 16 of 20 shots for an 80% success rate.

Grant Nelson led the way with 25 points and 11 rebounds, while Mark Sears contributed 24 points and 9 assists. Otega Oweh added 21 points, shooting 57.1% from the field. The Wildcats dished out 20 assists as a team and grabbed 13 offensive rebounds.

Commodores Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt put up 87 points in their last game, despite shooting just 38.8% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 45%, with a two-point shooting mark of 37% (20/54). From beyond the arc, they connected on 42.3% of their attempts, hitting 11 of 26 threes.

The Commodores also shot 77.8% from the free-throw line, making 14 of 18 attempts. They grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and dished out 14 assists. Mouhamed Dioubate and Aden Holloway each scored 22 points, with Dioubate shooting 8/9 and Holloway hitting 4/6 from three.

Wildcats Team Defense

Despite Kentucky’s defensive efforts, they allowed 102 points on 47% shooting from the field, with the opposing team hitting 35 of their 73 attempts.

From beyond the arc, the Wildcats gave up 11 threes on 27 attempts, a 40% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the line 20 times, where they converted 16 free throws, shooting 80%.

Commodores Team Defense

Despite Kentucky’s defensive efforts, they allowed 102 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 47% from the field. The Wildcats gave up 35 field goals on 73 attempts.

From two-point range, Kentucky’s opponents shot 52%, hitting 24 of 46 shots. They also connected on 11 of 27 three-point attempts, shooting 40%. At the free-throw line, the opposing team went 16/20, making 80% of their free throws. Kentucky allowed 13 offensive rebounds.

Wildcats vs Commodores Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Kentucky has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 76 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Commodores have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 8-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 78 points per game in these contests.
  • The last three games that Vanderbilt was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • The last three games that Kentucky was favored, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Wildcats vs Commodores Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +3.5, the Commodores is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 162.5, and our model predicts the Wildcats and Commodores to score a combined 147 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.