Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Minnesota Golden vs Michigan State Prediction 1/28/2025

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (11-9) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (17-2) on Tuesday, January 28th. This game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing and televised on PEAC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans

The Golden Gophers Are Coming Off A Win

Minnesota Golden Gophers Recent Game/Games

Minnesota improved to 11-9 on the season with a 77-69 win over Oregon on Saturday. The Golden Gophers, who were +4.5 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

Leading 44-38 at halftime, Minnesota scored 33 points in the 2nd half while holding Oregon to 31. The combined points of 146 went over the pre-game O/U line of 138.5.

The Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State improved to 17-2 on the season with an 81-74 win over Rutgers on Saturday. The Spartans were favored by 7.5 points going into the game but did not cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 155, surpassing the over/under line of 150.5.

Michigan State led 35-32 at halftime and scored 46 points in the second half while allowing 42. The Spartans’ offense stepped up after the break to secure the win.

Golden Gophers Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, the Golden Gophers put up 77 points, shooting 52.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 57.9%. They connected on 58.5% of their two-point attempts and hit 37.5% from beyond the arc, making 6 threes on 16 attempts.

Dawson Garcia led the way with 31 points, shooting 68.4% overall and 60% from three. The Gophers dished out 22 assists, with Parker Fox contributing 11 rebounds and 3 assists, while also shooting 71.4% from the field.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

In their last game, Michigan State put up 81 points, shooting 48.2% from the field. They hit 59.5% of their two-point attempts but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 26.3% of their threes. Their effective field goal percentage was 53.6%, and they were strong at the free-throw line, making 22 of 26 attempts for 84.6%.

Jordan Derkack led the way with 26 points, shooting 63.6% overall and 57.1% from three. Jase Richardson added 20 points, hitting 75% of his threes. Coen Carr was perfect from the field, going 5 for 5, while Ace Bailey contributed 18 points despite shooting just 23.5%.

Golden Gophers Team Defense

Despite Minnesota’s defensive efforts, they allowed 69 points on 52% shooting from the field. The opposing team found success inside, hitting 58% of their two-point attempts (24/41).

From beyond the arc, Minnesota’s defense gave up 6 threes on 16 attempts, a 37% shooting rate. They also sent the other team to the line 18 times, where they converted 11 free throws (61%).

Spartans Team Defense

Despite Minnesota’s defensive struggles, allowing 69 points on 52% shooting, their opponent couldn’t capitalize from beyond the arc, hitting just 6 of 16 threes (37%).

The Golden Gophers sent their opponent to the line 18 times, where they made 11 free throws (61%). Minnesota also gave up 10 offensive rebounds.

Golden Gophers vs Spartans Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Minnesota has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 68 points per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Michigan State has an ATS mark of 7-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 75 points per game.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Golden Gophers have a straight up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Spartans have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Golden Gophers vs Spartans Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Spartans vs. Spartans matchup, we’re leaning towards the Spartans at -12.5. Although our projections show the Spartans winning 76-70, we suggest placing your bet on the Golden Gophers for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 139.5, and our model projects the Golden Gophers and Spartans to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.