Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators NCAAB Betting Prediction

Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators Prediction 3/14/2025

The Missouri Tigers (22-10) travel to face off against the Florida Gators (27-4) on Friday, March 14th. This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators

The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Missouri Tigers Recent Game/Games

Missouri improved to 22-10 with an 85-73 win over Mississippi State on Thursday, March 13th. The Tigers, who were -3.5 favorites, covered the spread in the victory.

Leading 39-34 at halftime, Missouri scored 46 points in the 2nd half while allowing 39. The game’s total points of 158 fell just short of the 158.5 O/U line.

The Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida Gators Recent Game/Games

Florida improved to 27-4 on the season with a 90-71 win over Ole Miss on Saturday, March 8th. Playing at home, the Gators were -12.5 favorites and covered the spread with the win.

Florida led 38-31 at halftime and pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring Ole Miss 52-40. The total points for the game were 161, just over the 159.5 O/U line.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Missouri put up 85 points in their last game, shooting 49.1% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 56.4%. They hit 61.3% of their two-point attempts, while connecting on 33.3% from beyond the arc, making 8 of 24 threes. At the free-throw line, the Tigers were 23 of 28, good for 82.1%.

Tamar Bates led the way with 25 points, shooting 66.7% overall and 60% from three. Josh Hubbard added 24 points, though he struggled from deep, hitting just 3 of 14 threes. Tony Perkins contributed 20 points and 7 rebounds, while KeShawn Murphy chipped in 18 points and 8 boards.

Gators Offense Breakdown

Florida’s offense put up 90 points in their last game, shooting 49.2% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 60.3%. They connected on 14 threes at a 36.8% rate, while hitting 68% of their two-point attempts.

Walter Clayton Jr. led the way with 23 points and 8 assists, hitting 5 of 11 from deep. Sean Pedulla added 22 points, shooting 4 of 6 from three, and Alex Condon contributed 17 points and 15 rebounds, making 6 of 7 shots overall.

Tigers Team Defense

Missouri’s defense gave up 73 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 49% from the field, hitting 27 of 55 shots. Inside the arc, the Tigers allowed 19 of 31 two-point attempts to fall, a 61% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Missouri’s opponents made 8 of 24 attempts, shooting 33%. The Tigers also sent them to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 23 shots for 82%. Missouri allowed 9 offensive rebounds in the game.

Gators Team Defense

Missouri’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 73 points on 49% shooting from the field. They allowed 61% shooting on two-point attempts, with the opposing team hitting 19 of 31 shots inside the arc.

From three-point range, Missouri’s opponents shot 33%, making 8 of 24 attempts. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 28 times, where they converted 23 free throws for 82%. Missouri allowed 9 offensive rebounds.

Tigers vs Gators Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Missouri has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 79 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, Florida has averaged 86 points per game while allowing 79. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Gators have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Tigers vs Gators Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Gators vs. Gators matchup, we’re leaning towards the Gators at -8.5. Although our projections show the Gators winning 76-71, we suggest placing your bet on the Tigers for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 161.5 and our model has the Tigers and Gators finishing with a combined 147 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.