Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Prediction 2/1/2025

The Missouri Tigers (16-4) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-5) on Saturday, February 1st. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on SECN. Missouri is coming off a win in their previous game, while Mississippi State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Alabama. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Missouri Tigers vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Missouri improved to 16-4 on the season with an 83-75 win over Ole Miss on Saturday. The Tigers, who were favored by four points, covered the spread in the victory.

Missouri led 38-31 at halftime and scored 45 points in the second half, while allowing 44. The game’s total points of 158 went over the pregame line of 143.5.

The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games

Mississippi State fell to 16-5 on the season after an 88-84 home loss to Alabama on Wednesday, January 29th. The Bulldogs were -1.5 favorites going into the game but failed to cover the spread.

Mississippi State trailed 44-39 at halftime and couldn’t make up the difference in the second half, as both teams scored 44 points after the break. The total points for the game were 172, surpassing the over/under line of 164.5.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

In their last game, the Tigers put up 83 points, shooting 44.9% from the field and 44% from beyond the arc, hitting 11 threes. Their effective field goal percentage was 57.1%, and they connected on 71.8% of their free throws, going 28-for-39 from the line.

Tamar Bates led the way with 26 points, shooting 61.5% overall and 66.7% from three. Caleb Grill added 22 points, hitting 5 threes at a 55.6% clip. Sean Pedulla contributed 15 points and 6 assists, while Malik Dia grabbed 8 rebounds.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Mississippi State put up 84 points, shooting 50% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 56.1%. They hit 61% of their two-point attempts (25/41) and 32% from beyond the arc (8/25), while connecting on 62.5% of their free throws (10/16). The Bulldogs also grabbed 13 offensive rebounds and dished out 18 assists.

Josh Hubbard led the way with 38 points, hitting 6 of 15 from three-point range and finishing with a 50% shooting percentage overall. Chris Youngblood added 23 points, shooting 7 of 10 from deep (70%) and 63.6% overall. Mark Sears contributed 17 points and 9 assists, hitting 3 of 5 from three-point range (60%).

Tigers Team Defense

Missouri’s defense gave up 75 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field, including 11/24 on two-pointers. From beyond the arc, the opposition hit 11 of their 25 attempts, also at a 44% clip.

At the free-throw line, Missouri’s opponents went 28/39, shooting 71%. The Tigers also allowed 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Missouri’s defense gave up 75 points, with their opponents shooting 44% from the field, including 11/24 on two-point attempts. From beyond the arc, the opposing team hit 11 of their 25 three-point shots, also at a 44% clip.

At the free-throw line, Missouri sent their opponents to the stripe 39 times, where they converted 28 free throws for 71%. The Tigers also allowed 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Tigers vs Bulldogs Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Missouri has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 67 points per game.
  • Across their three previous home games, Mississippi State has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 62 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Mississippi State has a poor record vs the spread going 1-4. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.

Tigers vs Bulldogs Prediction

The Bulldogs is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 78-70. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Bulldogs at -6.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 148.5, and our model projects the Tigers and Bulldogs to reach a combined total of 148 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.