Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners NCAAB Betting Prediction
PublishedMarch 5, 2025,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:March 5, 2025 ,

Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction 3/5/2025

The Missouri Tigers (21-8) travel to face off against the Oklahoma Sooners (17-12) on Wednesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Lloyd Noble Center in Norman and televised on SEC. Both Missouri and Oklahoma will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Missouri Tigers vs Oklahoma Sooners

The Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Missouri Tigers Recent Game/Games

Missouri fell to 21-8 on the season after a 97-93 loss to Vanderbilt on Saturday, March 1st. The Tigers were -2 favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 190, surpassing the O/U line of 157.5.

Missouri led 38-29 at halftime but allowed 52 points in the 2nd half while scoring 43. The Tigers will need to tighten up defensively as they head into their next game.

The Sooners Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Oklahoma Sooners Recent Game/Games

Oklahoma’s season record dropped to 17-12 after a narrow 87-84 loss to Ole Miss on Saturday. The Sooners were +7.5 point underdogs going into the game, but they managed to cover the spread.

Oklahoma trailed 39-38 at halftime and scored 46 points in the second half, but they allowed 48 points to Ole Miss after the break. The game’s total points reached 171, surpassing the over/under line of 152.5.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Missouri put up 93 points in their last game, shooting 49.1% from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 56.1%, and they hit 80% of their free throws, going 28 for 35 from the line.

Caleb Grill led the way with 28 points, despite shooting just 27.3% from three. Chris Manon added 23 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 61.5% overall. AJ Hoggard contributed 21 points and 6 assists, while Mark Mitchell played a team-high 41 minutes, scoring 20 points.

Sooners Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their latest game, putting up 84 points with a 52.9% shooting percentage from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 62.7%, thanks in part to their 45.5% shooting from beyond the arc, hitting 10 of 22 attempts. At the free-throw line, they were nearly perfect, converting 20 of 22 for a 90.9% success rate.

Sean Pedulla led the way with 26 points, hitting 5 of 9 from three-point range. Dayton Forsythe was also a key contributor, scoring 25 points on 7 of 9 shooting, including 4 of 5 from deep. Jaemyn Brakefield added 16 points, while Duke Miles chipped in 15, knocking down 2 of 3 from long distance.

Tigers Team Defense

Missouri’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 97 points on 50% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposing team to hit 61% of their two-point attempts, with 26 made shots inside the arc.

From three-point range, Missouri’s opponents shot 30%, making 8 of 26 attempts. The Tigers also sent the other team to the free-throw line 24 times, where they converted 21 free throws for 87%. Additionally, Missouri gave up 18 offensive rebounds.

Sooners Team Defense

Missouri’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 97 points on 50% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposing team to hit 61% of their two-point attempts, with 26 makes on 42 tries.

From beyond the arc, Missouri’s opponents shot 30%, making 8 of 26 three-point attempts. The Tigers also sent them to the line 24 times, where they converted 21 free throws at an 87% clip. Missouri gave up 18 offensive rebounds.

Tigers vs Sooners Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Missouri has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 77 points per game.
  • Although Oklahoma has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 68 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Oklahoma has an ATS mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Tigers have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Tigers vs Sooners Prediction

The Sooners come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 161, and our model predicts the Tigers and Sooners to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.