The Atlanta Braves (83-70) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (56-97) on Friday, September 20th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Braves vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+171)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Marlins have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 5 home games.
- The Marlins have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Marlins have a recent head-to-head win against the Braves, scoring 7 runs on August 4th.
- The Marlins have outscored their opponents by a total of 38-35 in their last 5 home games.
- The Marlins have a higher home win percentage (29-49) compared to their away win percentage (27-48).
Braves vs Marlins
The Braves Are Coming Off A Win
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Reds, closing out their series with a 15-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Reds in the 3rd, the Braves responded with three runs of their own. Atlanta went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going five innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Michael Harris II, who went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs.
Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-17-7, and they are currently on a two-game winning streak. The Braves are 3rd in the NL East, two games behind the Mets and eight games behind the Phillies. When it comes to the run line on the road, the Braves have a 42-36 record. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it is -3.3 in losing games.
This season, the over/under record for Braves games is 58-90. When the total is set at 8.5 runs, the Braves have a 14-26 O/U record. So far, 30.1% of their games have had over/under lines of 8.5 runs or higher.
Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 28 starts this year and has a record of 8-8 with an ERA of 4.01. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Morton finished with a no-decision against the Dodgers, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Morton has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 5.23 ERA on the road compared to 4.64 at home.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been a force in the Braves lineup this season, as he is batting .306 with 38 homers and 101 RBIs, which is 5th and 10th in the league, respectively. He is also on a three-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is also a big power threat for the Braves, as he has 28 homers and is batting .243 for the season.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are one of the top home run-hitting teams in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Over their last eight games, Michael Harris II has gone 11/35 with four homers and eight RBIs.
The Marlins Took The Last Game Of This Series
Heading into their last game vs. the Dodgers, the Marlins closed out the series with a 20-4 loss. Miami was the +174 underdog at home. Things really got away from the Marlins in the 3rd inning, as the Dodgers scored five runs in the inning. Miami’s offense scored their only run in the 2nd.
Edward Cabrera got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted 2 1/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs. The Marlins also used five other pitchers out of the bullpen. Griffin Conine had a homer for the Marlins but went just 1/3. Jake Burger also had a good day at the plate, going 1/3 with a homer.
Miami has struggled recently, going 2-8 in their last 10 games and losing three straight series. Their overall record is 56-97, placing them 5th in the NL East, 35 games behind the Phillies. Against the run line at home, the Marlins are 33-45 with an average margin of -1.8 runs.
For the season, the over has hit in 82 of Miami’s 148 games, with their games averaging 9.1 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last three games.
Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Right-hander Valente Bellozo gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Braves at home. Bellozo has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 with a 3.70 ERA. Looking back at his last outing, Bellozo took the loss vs. the Nationals, giving up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. He has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. One positive note is that Bellozo has a WHIP of 1.29 and has issued just 2.93 walks per nine innings. Batters are hitting .243 vs. Bellozo this year.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. However, they have been slightly better at home, putting up 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, but they are 24th in home runs and 29th in walks.
Jake Burger and Jesus Sanchez have been the Marlins’ top home run hitters this season, with 27 and 17 homers, respectively. Burger has gone 7/26 in his last seven games, with two homers and six RBIs. Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/26 in his last seven games, with two homers and six RBIs.
Braves vs Marlins Prediction
Getting the Marlins at +171 is a great value pick in this one, as we have them winning by a score of 5-4. With the payout being over +150, you could also look to take the Marlins on the run line to increase your payout.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Charlie Morton finishing with around seven strikeouts, which is good for third among all starters today. As for Marlins starter Valente Bellozo, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him in the middle of the pack.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:September 20, 2024 Braves, Marlins