Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs Miami Marlins Prediction 9/21/2024

The Atlanta Braves (83-71) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (57-97) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+219)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Marlins have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • The Marlins have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • The Marlins have a recent head-to-head win against the Braves, with a 4-3 victory on September 20th.
  • The Braves have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The Marlins have a higher home win percentage (30-49) compared to the Braves’ recent away performance (41-38).

Braves vs Marlins

atlanta braves nba

Miami picked up a 4-3 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins had a three-run 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up one in the 5th. As for the Braves, they scored one run in the 3rd and added two more in the 6th.

Valente Bellozo started for the Marlins and picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Jesus Tinoco got the save. Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going six innings and giving up four earned runs.

Jake Burger and Kyle Stowers each had two hits and an RBI for the Marlins’ offense. Ramon Laureano also homered for Miami. For the Braves, Marcell Ozuna went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Atlanta is looking to bounce back after losing the first game of the series to the Marlins and currently trail the Mets by two games for the second wild card spot. The Braves are two games above .500 with an 83-71 record, but they are nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East.

The Braves have a 42-33 home record and are just above .500 on the road at 41-38. As favorites, they have a 70-53 record, but as underdogs, they are 13 games below .500. Atlanta’s average run differential per game is +0.5, and their run line record is 42-37. This season, the Braves have an over/under record of 58-91, with games above 8 runs having a 9-16-1 O/U record.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 9-10 with an ERA of 3.50. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 27 appearances, Fried has turned in 14 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Looking back at his last outing, Fried took the loss vs. the Dodgers, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, Fried has been much better at home, with an ERA of 4.73 compared to 5.63 on the road.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been a key run producer for the Braves this season, as his 101 RBIs are 9th in the league and leads the team. He also has a team-high 38 home runs and is batting .307. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 28 homers and is 13th in the league in RBIs (94). However, Olson is hitting just .242 this season.

Looking at the Braves’ recent offensive performance, Michael Harris II has been on a tear, going 11/31 with four homers over his last seven games. He has also driven in seven runs during this stretch. Harris II and Ramón Laureano are both on five-game hitting streaks.

So far this season, the Marlins have an over/under record of 18-12-2 when the total line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.1 runs per game. Miami is 30-49 at home and 27-48 on the road, and they have an overall series record of 11-28-9, with three straight series losses.

Miami’s straight-up record is 57-97, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games. They are currently 35 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and have an 18-32 divisional record. On the run line, the Marlins are 70-66 as underdogs and 2-16 as favorites.

Adam Oller Gets The Start For The Marlins

Marlins starter Adam Oller will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he faces the Braves today. In his most recent start, Oller took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has finished on the losing end of the decision in each of his last three outings. Oller has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .223 this season off Oller. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.42 and is averaging 7.39 strikeouts per nine innings.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. However, they have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. Collectively, the Marlins are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and have the 11th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with 27 and 17 home runs, respectively. Burger has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last nine games with two homers. Otto Lopez has also been on a tear, going 11/33 in his last nine games with two homers.

Braves vs Marlins Prediction

With the Marlins at +219 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick for today’s Braves vs. Marlins matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Marlins, giving us a lot of value with the Marlins on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Adam Oller finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Max Fried, we have him finishing with five K’s, which has him in the middle of the pack.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


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