The Atlanta Braves (84-71) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (57-98) on Sunday, September 22nd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on MLBN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.

Braves vs. Marlins Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+164)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Marlins have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
• The Marlins scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
• The Marlins have a 3-2 record against the Braves in their last 5 head-to-head matchups.
• The Marlins have outscored the Braves 17-12 in their last 3 head-to-head games.
• The Marlins have a higher home win percentage (.375) compared to the Braves’ away win percentage (.525) in the last 15 games.

Braves vs Marlins

Atlanta picked up a 6-2 road win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only two runs in the 1st inning. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -275 on the money line.

Max Fried started for the Braves and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued five walks. Adam Oller got the start for the Marlins, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Offensively, the Braves were led by Matt Olson and Gio Urshela, who each homered and had two hits. Olson, Jorge Soler, Marcell Ozuna, and Michael Harris II each had two RBIs for Atlanta’s offense.

Atlanta’s overall series record is 26-17-7, and they have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games. The Braves are 3rd in the NL East with an 84-71 record, trailing the Phillies by eight games. On the road, they are 42-38 this season.

When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the under has hit 27 times compared to 14 overs in Braves games. This season, their games have averaged 8.2 runs, and their over/under record is 58-92. Today’s O/U line is 8.5 runs.

Grant Holmes Gets The Start For The Braves

Right-hander Grant Holmes gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 23 appearances this season and has a record of 2-1 with a 3.83 ERA. Out of his 23 appearances, Holmes has made just one quality start and is averaging 8.59 strikeouts per nine innings. Holmes’ last outing came on September 17th, where he went four innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Opponents are batting .264 off Holmes this season.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been a consistent run producer for the Braves this season, as his 101 RBIs are 10th in the league and the top mark on the team. He has also been a major power threat, as his 38 homers are 5th in the league. Ozuna is also on a five-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is also swinging the bat well of late, going 7/19 with four homers over his last six games.

Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offense on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243 and have the 4th most home runs in the league.

Miami has struggled this season, holding a 57-98 record and sitting 35 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have lost three straight series and have an overall series record of 11-28-9. As underdogs, the Marlins are 53-84, but as favorites, they are just 4-14.

On the run line, Miami has a 72-83 record, including 38-37 on the road and 34-46 at home. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game, resulting in an 82-68 over/under record for the season. The under has hit in their last two games, and when the O/U line is 8.5, their O/U record is 28-25.

Darren McCaughan Gets The Start For The Marlins

Miami is sending right-hander Darren McCaughan to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made four starts and nine appearances this season and has a record of 0-0 with a 7.64 ERA. McCaughan’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.82. In his 33 innings of work, he has a BB/9 figure of 3.55 compared to 5.18 strikeouts per nine innings. McCaughan most recently faced the Dodgers, where he gave up five earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. McCaughan has finished with a no-decision in each of his last four outings.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

One of the few bright spots for the Marlins offense this season has been the play of Jake Burger, who is hitting .246 for the season with 27 home runs and 68 RBIs. Over his last nine games, Burger has gone 10/33 with two homers and seven RBIs. Otto Lopez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/34 with two homers and six RBIs. Lopez is currently on a nine-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. Their team on-base percentage is also near the bottom of the league, and they have the fewest walks in the MLB. Miami’s team batting average is .241, and they are 25th in home runs.

Braves vs Marlins Prediction

With the Marlins sitting at +164 on the money line, they are our recommended pick in this one. We have them winning by a score of 6-5, giving us a bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Darren McCaughan finishing with four strikeouts, which is good for third-worst among today’s starters. As for Grant Holmes, his five-strikeout projection has him at 18th among starters.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.