Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 7/25/2024

The Atlanta Braves (54-46) travel to face off against the New York Mets (53-48) on Thursday, July 25th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSSE. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Braves vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Braves (-131)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Braves have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • The Braves have won 4 out of their last 6 road games.
  • The Braves have a higher league rank (4th) compared to the Mets (5th).
  • The Braves have a better away record (24-25) compared to the Mets’ home record (26-26).
  • The Braves have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Mets.

Braves vs Mets

atlanta braves nba

The Mets Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with a 9-4 loss. Atlanta was actually the slight favorite at -129 on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored four times in the first.

Atlanta’s offense scored their only four runs in the 2nd inning. The Braves then went on to load the bases in the 3rd but couldn couldn’t push any more runs across. Orlando Arcia, Matt Olson, and Sean Murphy each had two hits. Starter Allan Winans really struggled on the mound, taking the loss and giving up seven earned runs in just 2 2/3 innings of work.

Atlanta’s overall run line record this season is 45-55, and they have a 24-25 mark on the road. The Braves are looking to snap a four-game run line losing streak as favorites, and their run line record when favored is 39-48. The average run margin in their games this season is +0.5 runs.

In the NL East, the Braves are nine games behind the Phillies, heading into today’s game vs. the Mets. They have an overall record of 54-46, and they are looking to bounce back from a four-game losing streak. So far this season, the over/under record for their games is 35-60, with an average total line of 8 runs.

Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 13-3 and an ERA of 2.70. This year, he has made 18 starts and 10 of them have been quality starts. Sale’s ERA at home is 3.40, compared to 2.64 on the road. So far, he has allowed a total of seven home runs. In his last outing, Sale went five innings and got the win, giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Sale’s WHIP for the season is an impressive 0.95.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late, going 16/38 in his last 10 games with five homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .306 with 28 homers and 80 RBIs, which is 3rd in the league. Matt Olson and Austin Riley are also near the top of the Braves home run leaderboard, with 13 homers apiece.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They are also just 20th in home runs and have a team batting average of .241. Currently, the Braves are 9th in the league in isolated power.

The Mets Are Coming Off A Win

New York is coming off a big 12-3 win over the Yankees to close out their series. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at +145 on the money line. It was a six-run 8th inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Yankees could only score one run in the bottom of the 9th to make things look a little closer.

Sean Manaea put together a good start for the Mets, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Mets’s offense was carried by Francisco Lindor, who went 3/6 with two homers and five RBIs.

When the Mets are underdogs, they have a 21-22 record this season, and they have covered the run line in two straight games as underdogs. Overall, their run line record is 48-53, and they are 26-17 on the run line as underdogs. The Mets have an over/under record of 54-44 for the season, and their games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs have averaged 9.5 runs per game.

Currently, the Mets are 10.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and are looking for their fourth straight win today. They have a 53-48 overall record and are in 3rd place in the division. At home, the Mets are 26-26, while on the road, they are 27-22.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. Against the Marlins on July 20th, he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just two hits. Looking back over his last three outings, Severino has been up and down. He has one start in which he gave up seven earned runs and another in which he gave up four earned runs. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, has a record of 7-3, and his ERA is 3.58. Opponents are batting .217 off Severino this year.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 8/23 in his last five games with four homers and eight RBIs. Lindor is currently on a nine-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .259 with a team-high 21 homers and 60 RBIs. Pete Alonso is also a big power threat in the Mets lineup, as he has 20 homers this season and is batting .244.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league’s top-ranked on-base percentage. Their team batting average of .251 is 7th in the league.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

The best bet for this Braves vs. Mets matchup is to take the Braves on the money line, with the payout being -131. We have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-5, giving you a little bit of room to take the Braves on the run line if you prefer.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale is projected to finish with nine strikeouts, and we have him finishing with a line of six innings, allowing five hits and two earned runs. As for Luis Severino, his strikeout projection is six, and he is predicted to go five innings, allowing the most hits of any starter in today’s games.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.