Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 7/26/2024

The Atlanta Braves (54-47) travel to face off against the New York Mets (54-48) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Braves vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-136)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Mets have won 7 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • The Mets have a 4-game winning streak, showcasing momentum going into the game.
  • The Mets have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Mets have a 19-14 record in division games, compared to the Braves’ 14-13 record.
  • The Mets won their last head-to-head game against the Braves at home, with a score of 3-2.

Braves vs Mets

atlanta braves nba

New York picked up a 3-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a two-run 3rd inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th. As for the Braves, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Mets were at -102 on the money line.

Luis Severino started for the Mets and went five innings while giving up two runs and striking out six. Phil Maton got the win out of the bullpen, and Edwin Diaz got the save. Chris Sale started for the Braves and went 7 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on two hits.

At the plate, Francisco Lindor hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs. Jeff McNeil also had two hits and drove in a run for New York’s offense.

Atlanta’s overall series record is 17-13-3, and they have dropped two straight series heading into today’s game. The Braves are 54-47 overall and have lost five straight games, including the first game of this series vs. the Mets. They are looking to close the 9.5-game gap between them and the Phillies in the NL East.

On the run line, Atlanta is 45-56 overall this season and 24-26 on the road. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 35-61. In games with an O/U line of 8 runs, their O/U record is 4-8-1. This season, 63.4% of their games have had O/U lines higher than 8 runs.

Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 3.92. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Morton has made eight quality starts this year and is averaging 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back over his last three outings, Morton has finished with a no-decision in each one.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 28 home runs are the 3rd most in baseball. He also comes into the game on a hot streak, going 14/36 in his last 10 games with four homers. Overall, Ozuna is batting .305 for the season. Austin Riley and Matt Olson are also in the top three in home runs for the Braves, but Riley has a much better batting average than Olson (.258 vs. .225).

Overall, the Braves are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This is the same average they have at home and on the road. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league.

Currently, the Mets are 3rd in the NL East, just a half-game behind the Braves, with a 54-48 record. They trail the Phillies by 10 games. The Mets have won four straight games and took the first game of this series against the Braves.

For the season, Mets games have averaged 9.5 runs, with an over/under record of 54-45. In games with an O/U line of 8 runs, the over has hit at a 12-4 clip. Against the run line, the Mets are 27-22 on the road and 27-17 as underdogs. Overall, their run line record is 49-53.

Kodai Senga Gets The Start For The Mets

Getting the start for the Mets is right-hander Kodai Senga. Last season, he made 29 starts and finished with a record of 12-7. His ERA for the year was 2.98, and he made 16 quality starts. Senga’s WHIP for the season was 1.22, and he allowed a batting average of .201. His FIP for the year was 3.63, and he finished the season with a total of 17 home runs allowed. On the season, he averaged 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings and 4.17 walks per nine innings.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Francisco Lindor has been on a tear of late, going 14/39 with six homers over his last 10 games. This has helped him move into the team lead with 22 homers, which is 7th best in the league. Lindor’s 62 RBIs are also 2nd on the team and 14th in the MLB. Overall, he is batting .259 for the season. Pete Alonso is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 20 homers this season and is 3rd on the team with 53 RBIs.

As a team, the Mets are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. As a team, they are batting .249.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Braves vs. Mets matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mets. With the money line payout for the Mets sitting at -136, this is the bet we recommend making.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Charlie Morton finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Kodai Senga with six. However, we have Senga picking up the win and Morton finishing with a higher ERA.

Offensively, we have the Mets finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves with nine. However, the Mets lineup is projected to have a better chance of hitting a home run compared to the Braves.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.