The Atlanta Braves (54-48) travel to face off against the New York Mets (55-48) on Saturday, July 27th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSSE. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Braves vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (-117)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Mets have won 5 of their last 6 home games, showcasing strong recent home performance.
- In their last 15 games, the Mets have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
- The Mets have won their last 2 head-to-head games against the Braves, both at home.
- The Mets have a current winning streak of 5 games, demonstrating strong recent form.
- The Braves are on a 6-game losing streak, indicating a recent struggle in performance.
Braves vs Mets
New York picked up an 8-4 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Braves, they scored their only four runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -132 on the money line.
J.D. Martinez and Mark Vientos each homered for the Mets, while Francisco Alvarez went 1/4 with three RBIs. Charlie Morton had a rough outing for the Braves, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
Kodai Senga pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued five walks.
Atlanta has not been performing well lately, losing six straight games and falling 9.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves are 24-27 on the road and have lost two straight games as the road favorite.
When favored, the Braves have a 50-38 straight-up record but have only covered the run line in 39 of 88 games. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, contributing to an over/under record of 36-61. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 3-5 with a 4.62 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Schwellenbach has a WHIP of 1.16 and opponents are batting .246 this season. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Schwellenbach has made four starts on the road and has a record of 1-2 with a 5.76 ERA.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Braves, going 9/24 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .308, which is the best mark on the team. Ozuna’s 81 RBIs is also the best mark on the team and is 3rd in the league. Matt Olson and Austin Riley are also near the top of the Braves home run leaderboard, with Olson batting just .226 this season and Riley at .254.
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. Their batting average of .240 is 13th in the league, and they are also 10th in the league in home runs. Overall, their slugging percentage and OPS are both around the league average.
Currently, the Mets are on a five-game winning streak and are 55-48 overall, nine games behind the Phillies in the NL East. Their series record is 16-12-6, and they are leading the current series against the Braves.
As underdogs, the Mets are 27-17 against the run line, and their games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs have gone over 18-11. This season, 24 of their games have had the total set at 8.5 runs, making up 23.3% of their matchups.
Tylor Megill Gets The Start For The Mets
New York is sending Tylor Megill to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he has made eight starts this season. Megill’s record for the year is 2-4, and he has an ERA of 5.08. Looking at his numbers, Megill has a WHIP of 1.44 and has issued 4.38 walks per nine innings compared to 11.31 strikeouts. In his last outing, Megill finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Megill has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are the league’s 5th-highest scoring offense at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in home runs and have the 7th best team batting average in the league. As a team, the Mets are also 6th in slugging percentage and 8th in on-base percentage.
Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/31 in his last seven games with five homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .257 with 22 homers and 62 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo has also been a key power source for the Mets, as he is 15th in the league with 16 homers and is batting .234.
Braves vs Mets Prediction
Our prediction for this Braves vs. Mets matchup is to take the Mets on the money line at -117. We actually have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-4. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a ton of wiggle room, but we like the Mets to pick up the win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Tylor Megill finishing with six strikeouts, which has him as the seventh worst among all starters. As for Spencer Schwellenbach, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which has him 11th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 27, 2024 Braves, Mets