Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 7/28/2024

The Atlanta Braves (55-48) travel to face off against the New York Mets (55-49) on Sunday, July 28th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSSE. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.

Braves vs. Mets Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mets (-110)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Mets have won 10 out of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
  • In the last 15 games, the Mets have averaged 5.6 runs per game at home.
  • The Mets have won 4 out of their last 5 home games against the Braves.
  • The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating good form.
  • The Mets have scored 7 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games, demonstrating offensive strength.

Braves vs Mets

atlanta braves nba

The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-3 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were at +102 on the money line.

Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out 11 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tylor Megill went six innings and gave up four runs for the Mets.

Marcell Ozuna and Eddie Rosario each homered for the Braves, while Adam Duvall went 2/4 with an RBI. Matt Olson also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Atlanta’s offense.

Atlanta’s straight-up record this season is 55-48, and they are currently 2nd in the NL East, 9.5 games behind the Phillies. The Braves have dropped four straight games as favorites, and their overall series record is 17-13-3.

Against the run line, the Braves are 46-57, with an average run differential of +0.5 runs per game. Their over/under record is 36-62, and games involving the Braves have averaged 7.9 runs. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is lower than usual, as 62.1% of their games have had higher total lines.

Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves

Right-hander Reynaldo López is getting the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-4 with a 2.12 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, López has a WHIP of 1.19 and has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One positive note for López is that he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 2.73 ERA compared to 1.75 at home.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been a big power threat for the Braves this season, as his 30 home runs are 3rd in the league and leads the team. He is also 2nd in the MLB with 82 RBIs. Ozuna has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/28 in his last eight games, including four homers. Matt Olson has also been a big power threat for the Braves, as he has 14 homers this season, but his batting average is just .227.

Overall, the Braves offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. They are also just 20th in terms of strikeouts and have the league’s 8th best home run total. As a team, the Braves are batting .239, and their team on-base percentage of .303 is just 16th in the league.

As the underdog, the Mets have won three straight games and have a 22-22 record overall. They are 50-54 against the run line, with a +0.2 average run margin per game. This season, Mets games have averaged 9.5 runs, and their over/under record is 55-46.

Overall, the Mets are 55-49 and are in 3rd place in the NL East, 10 games behind the Phillies. In this series vs. the Braves, they have won two out of three games and are the home team for today’s matchup.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made nine starts this year and has a record of 5-0 with an ERA of 3.14. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off Peterson this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.48. In his last outing, Peterson picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Looking back further, he has given up two earned runs in three straight outings. Peterson has made four quality starts this year.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Francisco Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Mets, going 9/35 in his last eight games with five home runs. For the season, he is batting .254 with 22 homers, which is 10th in the league. Overall, he is 2nd on the team with 62 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo is also near the top of the league in homers, as his 16 home runs is 3rd on the team and 12th in the MLB.

As a team, the Mets are 5th in home runs and are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in batting average and have the 6th best OPS in the league.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

With the Mets at -110 to pick up the win, this is the best way to play this game. We have the Mets winning this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have this game combining for 11 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, David Peterson is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and Reynaldo Lopez is predicted to finish with five. Peterson is also projected to give up fewer runs than Lopez, and if you’re looking for a home run pick, the Mets are projected to hit more home runs than the Braves.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.