The Atlanta Braves (89-73) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (93-69) on Wednesday, October 2nd. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on ESPN2. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:38 CT.

Braves vs. Padres Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Padres (-123)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 6.5 Runs

• Padres have won 7 out of their last 10 games.
• Padres have a home record of 45-36, indicating strong performance at home.
• Padres have scored an average of 4.2 runs per game in their last 15 games.
• Padres have won 5 out of their last 6 home games.
• Padres have a league rank of 4th, while the Braves are ranked 7th.

Braves vs Padres

Thanks to a two-home run performance from Fernando Tatis Jr., the Padres cruised to a 4-0 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Tatis Jr. scored three times and finished with two more RBIs than the entire Braves lineup.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 12 strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Braves, AJ Smith-Shawver got the start and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in just 1 1/3 innings of work.

San Diego had a huge second inning, scoring two of their four runs. As for the Braves, they had their best chance to score in the 8th, getting on the board with one run and leaving the bases loaded.

Facing a must-win situation in game two of their series against San Diego, the Braves will look to even things up, as they trail 1-0 in this best-of-three matchup. Atlanta is on the road, where they posted a 43-38 record during the regular season, compared to 46-35 at home. As underdogs, they went 13-19 this year, while finishing 76-55 as favorites.

Today’s 6.5-run over/under line is lower than 100% of Atlanta’s games this season, with their average O/U line sitting at 8 runs. The Braves’ over/under record is 59-98, and the under has hit in their last two games. Their run line record is 77-86 overall, including 43-39 on the road.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Max Fried will be looking to build off his last outing, where he was dominant vs. the Royals. In that September 27th start, he went 8 2/3 innings, picking up the win and not giving up a run. Fried finished with nine strikeouts in the outing. Looking at his overall numbers, Fried has made 29 starts and has a record of 11-10. His ERA for the season is 3.25, along with a WHIP of 1.16. Opponents have hit .221 this season off Fried. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.57 strikeouts and 2.94 walks.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have been the Braves’ top power hitters this season, with Ozuna leading the team with 39 homers and Olson right behind him with 29. Ozuna is also 8th in the league with 104 RBIs. However, both players have struggled of late, with Ozuna batting just .120 over his last seven games and Olson at .247 for the season.

As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Overall, the Braves are 10th in team batting average at .243.

As the Padres prepare for game two against the Braves, they hold a 1-0 series lead and will look to close out the series at home. San Diego finished the regular season with a 93-69 record, including a 45-36 mark at home and 48-33 on the road. As home favorites, they went 39-28 this year and have won five straight at home.

San Diego’s run line record for the season is 85-78, with a 34-48 mark at home. They’ve covered the run line in their last three home games. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.8 total runs this season, while today’s over/under line is set at 6.5 runs. Their over/under record is 82-77.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and comes into the game with a record of 6-5 and an ERA of 3.88. Looking back at his last outing, Musgrove finished with a no-decision against the Dodgers. In that start, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and he allowed one homer in the outing. Before that, he had put together a nice streak of three straight starts without giving up a homer. Musgrove has made 19 starts this year and has 10 quality starts. His ERA at home is 4.59 compared to 4.83 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .263. They also have the best team slugging percentage in the league and are 8th in runs scored, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar have been a great 1-2 punch for the Padres this season, as Machado leads the team with 29 homers and is 7th in the league with 105 RBIs. Profar is batting .280 and has 24 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Luis Arraez is also having a good season, batting .314 with an OBP of .346.

Braves vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Braves vs. Padres game is to take the Padres on the money line at -123. We have the Padres winning this one by a score of 4-3. With the over/under line sitting at 6.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of room for error, but we could see this one going either way.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Joe Musgrove finishing with more strikeouts than Max Fried. Musgrove is projected to finish with six K’s, while Fried is at five.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.