Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB Betting

MLB Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 9/11/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (83-63) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (73-72) on Wednesday, September 11th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Orioles vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (+104)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Orioles have won 5 of their last 7 road games.
  • The Orioles have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The Orioles have a better overall record (83-63) compared to the Red Sox (73-72).
  • The Orioles have won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head games against the Red Sox.
  • The Orioles have a positive run differential (+53) over the last 15 games, while the Red Sox have a negative run differential (-12).

Orioles vs Red Sox

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore rallied for two runs in the 7th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Red Sox series. The Orioles scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 7th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +117 on the money line.

Albert Suarez pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued two walks. Suarez got the win in the game, while Seranthony Dominguez got the save.

Cedric Mullins hit the game’s only two home runs while going 2/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Adley Rutschman also had a two-hit game for Baltimore.

Heading into today’s game against the Red Sox, the Orioles are just a half-game behind the Yankees in the AL East with an 83-63 record. Their overall series record this season is 24-14-7, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. As favorites, the Orioles have a 67-47 record, but as underdogs, they are 16-16.

When the Orioles have been run line underdogs, they have covered in 22 out of 32 games. Their games this season have averaged 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 78-57. The O/U record for games with a total of 9 runs is 15-14-4, and 68.5% of their games have had lower totals than today’s line of 9 runs.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Dean Kremer is starting for the Orioles today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.27. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his last outing, he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Kremer has a total of eight quality starts this season and is averaging 8.54 strikeouts per nine innings.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Over the past 10 games, Cedric Mullins and Gunnar Henderson have been red hot for the Orioles. Mullins has gone 13/32 with four homers, and Henderson has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/40 with three homers. Henderson comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, Henderson is batting .282 and is 2nd on the team with 36 homers.

As a team, the Orioles are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the best isolated power number in the league. Overall, they are 4th in the league in runs per game at 4.9 and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Baltimore also comes into the game with the league’s top slugging percentage.

When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a 40-33 record straight up, but they are just 25-28 at home. Overall, Boston is 73-72 and they are 3rd in the AL East, 10 games behind the Yankees. The Red Sox have a 22-17-6 series record this season.

For the season, the Red Sox have an over/under record of 74-64 and their games have averaged 9.5 runs. When the total is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 8-5-3. So far, 30.3% of their games have had totals of more than 9 runs, while 58.6% have had totals of less than 9 runs.

Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and giving up one earned run vs. the White Sox. He only gave up three hits in the outing. Pivetta has made nine quality starts this year and has a record of 5-10 with a 4.38 ERA. Looking back at his last four outings, Pivetta has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .231 off Pivetta this season.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox offense is 8th in the league in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have the league’s top team BABIP at .32. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .256, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are the top power hitters in the Red Sox lineup, with Devers having 28 homers and O’Neill at 29. Devers is also the team’s top run producer, with 81 RBIs. Over his last six games, O’Neill has gone 7/22 with four homers. Jarren Duran is batting .288 for the season and has 21 homers.

Orioles vs Red Sox Prediction

We see the Orioles coming away with a 6-5 road win over the Red Sox. Given that the Orioles are the underdogs on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win with a nice payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Pivetta finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dean Kremer with five. However, we see Pivetta going just five innings compared to Kremer, who we have going six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.