The Baltimore Orioles (69-48) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (58-57) on Saturday, August 10th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on FOX. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Orioles vs. Rays Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rays (+144)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Rays have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- The Rays have outscored their opponents 33-21 in their last 7 home games.
- The Rays have a 4-2 record in their last 6 games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 7 home games.
- The Rays have a 2-1 record against the Orioles in their last 3 head-to-head matchups.
Orioles vs Rays
Baltimore picked up a 4-1 road win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles offense got off to a fast start, scoring one run in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Rays got on the board with one run in the 5th.
Zach Eflin pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going seven innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Zack Littell took the loss for Tampa Bay, going five innings and giving up three earned runs.
Cedric Mullins and Colton Cowser each homered for the Orioles, while Eloy Jimenez went 3/4 with an RBI. Ryan O’Hearn also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs.
With a 69-48 record, the Orioles are currently leading the AL East by half a game over the Yankees. Baltimore’s overall series record is 21-11-4, and they won the first game of this series against the Rays.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have a 34-24 run line record and a +1.0 run differential per game. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs, resulting in a 65-42 over/under record. This season, 77.8% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs.
Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 23 starts this year and has a record of 12-4 with a 2.63 ERA. Burnes’ WHIP for the season is 1.06, and opponents are batting .204 off him this year. In his 23 appearances, Burnes has turned in 18 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Burnes gave up four earned runs in five innings of work. He did come away with the win in that start. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of runs scored. Overall, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game, but that number goes up to 5.3 when they are on the road. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 6th in the MLB, and their team on-base percentage of .319 is 10th in the league.
Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been the Orioles’ top two power threats this season, with Henderson’s 29 homers being 2nd on the team and Santander’s 34 long balls leading the team and being 3rd in the league. Henderson comes into the game batting .283, while Santander’s batting average is at .245. Over his last six games, Eloy Jimenez has gone 11/20, and Jackson Holliday has three homers in his last seven games.
As the underdog, the Rays have a 36-22 record against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 22-35. Overall, they are 58-57 against the run line this season. Tampa Bay is 30-30 at home and 28-27 on the road, and their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game.
Tampa Bay is 10 games behind the Orioles in the AL East with a 58-57 overall record. They have an over/under record of 53-57 this season, and games involving the Rays have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is lower than usual, as 64.3% of their games have had higher total lines.
Drew Rasmussen Gets The Start For The Rays
Drew Rasmussen is making his first start of the season for the Rays, as he was used out of the bullpen in his first appearance. That outing came against the Cardinals, where he went 2 innings, striking out 3 and not allowing a run.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Over his last seven games, Brandon Lowe has gone 8/30 with two homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .262 with 14 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Christopher Morel leads the team with 53 RBIs but is batting just .194 for the season. Morel also leads the team with 20 homers.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. Tampa Bay does have a good team on-base percentage and are 8th in the league in walks.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction
With the Rays having a money line payout of +144, that is the direction we recommend going for today’s Orioles vs. Rays matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rays, giving us a lot of value in taking them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to have a good strikeout total, but we have him giving up the most earned runs among today’s starters. If you’re looking for a player prop, Burnes’ strikeout line is something to consider.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 10, 2024 Orioles, Rays