The Toronto Blue Jays (49-56) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (62-43) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on SNET. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 2:05 CT.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-191)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Orioles have scored 8 or more runs in 4 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
- Baltimore has a home record of 31-24, indicating strong performance at home.
- The Orioles have won 5 of their last 15 games, including a recent win against the Padres.
- Baltimore has a better overall record (62-43) compared to Toronto (49-56), indicating stronger season-long performance.
- The Orioles have a division-leading rank in the AL East, while the Blue Jays are last in the same division.
Blue Jays vs Orioles
The Blue Jays Are Coming Off A Win
The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rangers, closing out their series with a 7-3 win. After allowing three runs to the Rangers in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with three runs of their own. Toronto went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.
José Berríos put together a good start for the Blue Jays, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Toronto’s offense was carried by Daulton Varsho, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Overall, the Blue Jays have a 49-56 record and are 13 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They are currently in 5th place, 4.5 games behind the Rays for the 4th spot in the division. Toronto has a 12-16-5 series record this season.
When the Blue Jays have been the underdog, they have a 26-22 run line record, but their overall run line record is 50-55. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, resulting in a 56-46 over/under record. Recently, their games have gone over the total in five straight, and when the total has been 9 runs, the over is 2-5.
Yariel Rodríguez Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Toronto is sending right-hander Yariel Rodríguez to the mound today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 3.69. Opponents have hit .204 off Rodríguez this season, and he has a WHIP of 1.26. In his last outing, Rodríguez finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 9.69 strikeouts per nine innings.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the best hitters in the league this season, as he is batting .301 and has a team-high 19 home runs and 64 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 9/19 with three homers over his last six games. Justin Turner has also been swinging a hot bat for the Blue Jays, going 13/23 in his last six games.
As a team, the Blue Jays are 25th in runs scored and are batting just .238. However, they are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts and have the 13th best on-base percentage in the league. So far, they have been one of the worst power-hitting teams in the league, as their collective ISO of .143 is 18th in the MLB.
The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win
Baltimore closed out their series vs. the Padres with an 8-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -138 on the money line. It was a big 3rd inning that really turned things in their favor, as the Orioles scored six runs in the inning. The Padres could only score three runs in the 5th, and Baltimore’s bullpen was able to close things out. Yennier Cano picked up the save, and the Orioles started Cionel Perez, who got the win.
Albert Suarez only lasted 4 2/3 innings for the Orioles, giving up three earned runs. Ryan Mountcastle had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with four RBIs. The Orioles also had three other players with a double.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 50-34 straight up and 41-43 vs. the run line. Their games have averaged 9.2 runs this season, and the over is 56-39 overall. The over has hit in six straight games, and Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 56 of 95 games.
Baltimore is 62-43 overall and leads the AL East by one game over the Yankees. They have an overall series record of 21-10-2 and are 5-5 in their last ten games. The Orioles are 31-24 at home and 31-19 on the road this season.
Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today and comes in with a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 4.09. So far this year, he has made 19 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Eflin’s ERA at home is 2.39 compared to 5.41 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is 1.16, and he is averaging 7.12 strikeouts per nine innings.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the top power threats for the Orioles this season, as Santander’s 29 homers is 4th in the league, and Henderson is 2nd on the team with 28 home runs. Santander has gone 10/37 in his last nine games, with five homers and 10 RBIs. Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/33 with two homers and nine RBIs in this stretch.
As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .252 (7th) and have the league’s top slugging percentage.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line being set at 9 runs. We have the Orioles winning this game by a score of 6-4, giving us some wiggle room on the over/under line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zach Eflin of the Orioles finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for 15th among starters. As for Yariel Rodríguez, who is projected to finish with four K’s, he is second to last on our list.
Another reason we like the over is that the Orioles lineup is projected to hit four home runs, which is the fourth-best among all teams. As for the Blue Jays, they are projected to finish with just two home runs.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Orioles are the way to go, but at -191, we prefer the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 29, 2024 Blue Jays, Orioles