Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7/31/2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-58) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (64-44) on Wednesday, July 31st. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-242)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Orioles have scored an average of 6.8 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Orioles have a 4-2 record against the Blue Jays this season.
  • Orioles have a better home record (33-25) compared to the Blue Jays’ away record (24-30).
  • Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 4 out of their last 5 games.

Blue Jays vs Orioles

toronto blue jays nba

Baltimore cruised to a 6-2 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -212 on the money line.

Corbin Burnes pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Chris Bassitt had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going just four innings and giving up five earned runs.

Ramón Urías and Anthony Santander each homered for the Orioles, while Colton Cowser scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. Ryan O’Hearn also had a two RBI game at the plate.

When playing as the underdog, the Blue Jays have a 17-34 record, but as the favorite, they are 33-24. Their run line record is 51-57, and they have a 33-21 run line record on the road. Toronto’s games have averaged 9 runs this season, resulting in a 58-47 over/under record.

Toronto is 14 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and trail the series 2-1 heading into today’s game. The Blue Jays have a 24-30 road record and are looking to pick up a win on the road against Baltimore.

Paolo Espino Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Paolo Espino will be making his first start of the season for the Blue Jays, as he has been used out of the bullpen so far. In his first outing, he went 2 innings and gave up just 1 hit. Then, in his second appearance, he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 6 hits.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .240, and their team OPS of .694 is also below the league average. One thing the Blue Jays have done well is avoid striking out, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league.

One thing the Blue Jays have going for them is the fact that Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been red hot of late, hitting .514 with five homers over his last 10 games. Guerrero Jr. is also on a 13-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .312 with 21 homers and 69 RBIs. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both are batting under .230 for the season.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs is slightly higher than the Baltimore Orioles’ combined run average of 9.2. The Orioles have played to the over in 58 of their 98 games this season, and their average over/under line has been 8 runs. When the line has been set at 9 runs, Baltimore has gone 11-11-3 to the over, but only 3.7% of their games have had a higher line than 9 runs.

The Orioles are 64-44 overall and lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. They have taken two of the first three games in this series vs. the Blue Jays. Baltimore’s run line record is 58-50, and their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game. On the road, they are 30-20 vs. the run line.

Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through 19 starts, Grayson Rodriguez has a record of 12-4 and an ERA of 3.82. He most recently faced the Padres, where he finished with a no-decision. In that outing, Rodriguez went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and he gave up one homer in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Rodriguez has a WHIP of 1.23 and has pitched a total of 110 2/3 innings. Opposing batters are hitting .237 off the right-hander this season. For the year, he has made 10 quality starts and is averaging 9.92 strikeouts per nine innings.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league and come into the game with the league’s top slugging percentage. Overall, they are 3rd in the league in runs scored and are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and 4.8 at home. Baltimore also has the league’s top Isolated Power (ISO) rating.

Anthony Santander has been a key power bat for the Orioles this season, as his 31 homers are 3rd in the league and the best mark on the team. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/35 (.286) with four homers over his last nine games. Gunnar Henderson has also been a key run producer for the Orioles, as his 64 RBIs are 13th in the league and 2nd on the team. He has also gone deep 28 times.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for the Orioles vs. Blue Jays game is to take the over, as we see the final score being 6-4 in favor of the Orioles. However, with the payout for a straight up Orioles win being -242, we recommend taking the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Grayson Rodriguez is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing in the bottom half of the league in terms of K’s. As for the Blue Jays, we have them finishing with just seven strikeouts as a team.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.