Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 8/2/2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-59) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (65-45) on Friday, August 2nd. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-167)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Yankees have won 5 of their last 6 home games.
  • The Yankees have outscored their opponents 49-33 in their last 15 games.
  • The Yankees have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, compared to the Blue Jays’ 5-5.
  • The Yankees have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 wins.
  • The Yankees have a better overall record (65-45) compared to the Blue Jays (50-59).

Blue Jays vs Yankees

toronto blue jays nba

The Yankees Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Blue Jays will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 10-4 loss. Toronto was the +206 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Blue Jays, as they got on the board with a run in the 3rd inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Paolo Espino got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. Addison Barger had a big game at the plate, going 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

When playing on the road, the Blue Jays have a 33-22 run line record this season. Overall, their games have averaged 9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 59-47. The over/under line for today’s game is 9 runs, which is only the fifth time this season that a line of 9 runs or higher has been set for one of their games.

Toronto is 50-59 overall and are 14.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have a series record of 12-16-6 this season, and their average run differential in winning games is +3.1, while in losing games it’s -4.1.

Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman is the starter for the Blue Jays today and comes into the game with a record of 9-8 and an ERA of 4.44. This year, he has made 21 starts, and opponents are batting .241. Gausman has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 6-3 and an ERA of 4.89. In his 21 starts, he has turned in 10 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Gausman’s most recent outing was on July 27th vs. the Rangers, where he picked up the win, going nine innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

After a slow start to the season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire of late, going 15/29 with three homers over his last eight games. Guerrero Jr. is batting .311 for the season and leads the Blue Jays with 70 RBIs. He also leads the team with 21 homers. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the team’s home run list, but both are batting under .230 for the season.

As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They are also one of the league’s worst home run hitting teams and have a collective batting average of just .239. Toronto’s team OPS of .694 is 18th in the league.

The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win

The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After scoring four runs in the 2nd inning, the Yankees added another two runs in the 6th to pick up the win. New York was the slight underdog at -101 on the money line going into the game.

Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up three earned runs on just three hits and issued two walks. The Yankees’ bullpen was a little shaky, as the Phillies scored a run in the 8th to tie things up, but Clay Holmes was able to close things out and pick up the save.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are tied with the Orioles for the AL East lead, and they are on a five-game winning streak. Their overall series record this season is 19-11-4, and they have won two straight series. On the run line, they are 59-51, with a +1.1 run margin per game.

This season, the Yankees’ games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 60-46. When the total has been set at 9 runs, the over has hit 5 times, under 9 times, and there have been 2 pushes. The O/U line of 9 runs has been set in 14 of their games, which is 12.7% of their total games played.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 7-5 with a 3.64 ERA. Stroman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Stroman has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 6.57 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last four outings, he has finished with a no-decision in three of them.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

As a team, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the best mark in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. New York is also the league’s top home run hitting team, and they have the league’s best team on-base percentage and OPS. Aaron Judge is not only leading the team with a .316 batting average, but his 39 homers and 99 RBIs are both the best in the league.

Judge has been hot of late, going 11/28 in his last eight games with four homers and 10 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/19 with four homers in his last four games. Alex Verdugo and Anthony Volpe are both on six-game hitting streaks.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Yankees matchup is to take the over, with the line currently sitting at 9 runs. We actually have the Yankees winning this game 6-5, so there is some room for the line to move up if you are looking to get some better value.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters. As for Kevin Gausman, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of today’s starters.

Another reason we like the over is that the Blue Jays are projected to finish with just one fewer run than the Yankees. However, the Blue Jays are a good payout at +142 if you think they can pull off the upset.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.