The Boston Red Sox (44-39) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (30-54) on Tuesday, July 2nd. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Red Sox vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Marlins (+146)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Marlins have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
- The Marlins have scored an average of 4.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
- The Marlins have a recent head-to-head win against the Red Sox, scoring 6 runs in that game.
- The Marlins have a better home win percentage (16-27) compared to the Red Sox’s away win percentage (24-16).
- The Marlins have outscored their opponents in 3 of their last 4 home wins.
Red Sox vs Marlins
The Red Sox Are Coming Off A Win
Rafael Devers had a big game at the plate in the Red Sox’s most recent game vs. the Padres, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another run in the 3rd. After the Padres scored their only run in the 7th, the Red Sox closed things out with Kenley Jansen picking up the save.
Josh Winckowski got the start for the Red Sox, going five innings, and didn’t give up a run. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.
As the Red Sox head into their series against the Marlins, they have won two straight games on the road and are 24-16 away from Fenway Park. Overall, they are 44-39, sitting 3rd in the AL East, 8.5 games behind the Orioles. Boston’s over/under record for games with an 8.5 run line is 15-11, and this season, 28.9% of their games have had the total set at 8.5 runs.
Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Boston is sending right-hander Kutter Crawford to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 3-7 with a 3.59 ERA. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.14, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Crawford gave up three earned runs and two homers in 6 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that start vs. the Reds. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 2.83 compared to 4.34 at home.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average and have the league’s 7th best on-base percentage. One of the things that has helped their offense is their ability to limit strikeouts, as they are 25th in the league in this category.
Over the team’s last 10 games, both Jarren Duran and Rafael Devers have gone deep four times, with Duran hitting .364 and Devers batting .308 over that stretch. Devers’ 18 homers are 8th in the league and is the top mark on the Red Sox. He also leads the team with 45 RBIs. Duran is currently on a three-game hitting streak.
The Marlins Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Marlins will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 7-6 loss. Miami was the +216 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Marlins, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Phillies scored twice in the bottom of the first.
Miami started Yonny Chirinos, and he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on nine hits. The Marlins’s offense scored six runs on 11 hits but only had one home run. Bryan De La Cruz went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs.
When the Marlins are the underdog, they have a solid 36-33 record against the run line, but as the favorite, they are just 1-14. Overall, they are 37-47 vs. the run line. Miami’s over/under record for the season is 43-40, and their combined run average is 8.5 runs per game.
Miami’s series record is 7-18-2, and they are 5th in the NL East with a 30-54 overall record, 25 games behind the Phillies. The Marlins are 5-5 in their last 10 games and have a 16-27 home record heading into today’s game.
Valente Bellozo Gets The Start For The Marlins
Valente Bellozo will be making his second start of the season for the Marlins, and he will be facing the Red Sox at home. Bellozo’s first start of the year came on the road against the Royals, where he went 5 innings and struck out 2, while giving up 2 hits and no runs.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been led by Bryan De La Cruz, who has 15 homers this season and is batting .242. However, he has hit just .220 over his last 10 games. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is 2nd on the team with 10 homers and is batting .259 for the season.
One thing that has really hurt the Marlins offense is their league-worst team on-base percentage of .280. As a team, they are also 22nd in home runs and have the worst isolated power mark in the MLB. Miami’s offense could be in for a long day, as they are facing a pitcher who is on a seven-game winning streak.
Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Marlins game is to take the Marlins on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +146. We have the Marlins winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at today’s starters, Valente Bellozo is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which would have him as the 3rd worst among starters. As for Kutter Crawford, his projection is at five, which would have him as the 13th best.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 2, 2024 Marlins, Red Sox