The Boston Red Sox (47-39) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (54-35) on Friday, July 5th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.
Red Sox vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-141)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Yankees have a higher overall win percentage (.607) compared to the Red Sox (.547).
- In the last 15 games, the Yankees have scored 8 or more runs in 5 games, showing strong offensive potential.
- The Yankees have a better home record (24-17) compared to the Red Sox’s away record (27-16).
- The Yankees have won 3 out of their last 4 home games, indicating recent home-field advantage.
- In head-to-head matchups this season, the Yankees have outscored the Red Sox 15-18 in their last series.
Red Sox vs Yankees
The Red Sox Are Coming Off A Win
Boston’s last game came in their series vs. the Marlins, where they picked up a 6-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -156. It was a good thing they got off to a hot start, as the Marlins scored two runs in the 2nd inning to tie things up. Boston’s offense added another run in the 3rd to take the lead and went on to score a total of six runs.
Nick Pivetta put together a good start for the Red Sox, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out 10 Marlins batters. Boston’s offense was carried by Tyler O’Neill, who went 3/5 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Red Sox also had a couple of players come off the bench to hit home runs, Greg Weissert and Zack Kelly.
When the Red Sox are underdogs, they have a 14-13 record straight up and a 25-17 record against the run line. They have covered the run line in five straight games as underdogs. Boston’s average run total in games this season is 8.9, with an over/under record of 42-39. The over has hit in their last three games.
Boston is 47-39 overall and on a four-game winning streak heading into today’s game against the Yankees. They are 7.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East, sitting in 3rd place. The Red Sox have won three straight series on the road, including a sweep of the Marlins in their most recent series.
Tanner Houck Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Right-hander Tanner Houck gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 7-6 with a 2.67 ERA. Houck’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up seven earned runs on nine hits. Before that outing, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss. Houck has one complete game shutout this season and 13 quality starts.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average at .253 and have the league’s best BABIP at .32. The Red Sox are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, coming in 10th in the league.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 18 homers are 8th in the league and the most on the team. He is also hitting .288 for the season and has 51 RBIs, which is the best mark on the team. Devers has been on a tear of late, going 14/37 in his last 10 games with four homers and 13 RBIs. Jarren Duran and Tyler O’Neill have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Duran having a six-game hitting streak and O’Neill on a three-game streak.
The Yankees Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Reds with an 8-4 loss. New York was the heavy favorite at -182 going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Reds scored three times in the 2nd.
Marcus Stroman took the loss for the Yankees, going just five innings and giving up five earned runs on five hits. He also issued two walks and hit a batter. The Yankees’s offense scored their only four runs in thejson 5th, with Juan Soto going deep and Austin Wells scoring on a wild pitch.
At home, the Yankees have a 24-17 record, but they are coming off three straight losses in their series vs. the Reds. Their overall series record is 17-8-3, and they have an over/under record of 47-40 this season. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and their 8.5-run line record is 23-15.
The Yankees, with a 54-35 record, are two games behind the Orioles in the AL East. They have an average run margin of 4.0 in wins and -3.4 in losses. As favorites, they are 42-29 straight up, but on the run line, they are 34-37. When underdogs, they have a 14-4 run line record.
Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 4-7 with an ERA of 3.51. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. In his 18 starts, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Cortes most recently faced the Blue Jays, where he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that outing, he had won two straight starts.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Yankees offense has been one of the league’s best, as they are 3rd in runs per game and are 2nd in home runs. They have been especially good on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 9th in the league, and are the top home run hitting team in the league.
Yankees fans have to be excited about the season that Aaron Judge is putting together, as he is leading the team in batting average (.314) and has gone deep 32 times, which is the best mark in the league. He is also 1st in the MLB in RBIs. Judge has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/18 in his last five games with two homers. Austin Wells has also hit two homers in his last five games, while batting .308.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
Our pick for this Red Sox and Yankees matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line at -141. We actually have the Yankees winning this game by a score of 6-5, which would give you a good payout on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Houck going seven innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Nestor Cortes, we have him going six innings and also finishing with six strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 5, 2024 Red Sox, Yankees