Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 7/11/2024

The Atlanta Braves (51-40) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-47) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (+121)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • In their last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have scored 7 or more runs in 6 games, showcasing strong offensive performance.
  • The Diamondbacks have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
  • In their last 3 home games against the Braves, the Diamondbacks have averaged 4.33 runs per game, compared to the Braves’ 5 runs per game, showing competitive matchups.
  • The Diamondbacks have a recent win streak of 1 game, while the Braves are coming off a loss, suggesting momentum is in favor of the Diamondbacks.
  • Over the last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have a higher win percentage (53.3%) compared to the Braves (46.7%), indicating better recent form.

Braves vs Diamondbacks

atlanta braves nba

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Charlie Morton, as he went 6 1/3 innings and gave up just two hits and two earned runs as the Braves starter vs. the Diamondbacks. After scoring two runs in the first and adding one more in the 2nd, the Braves were held in check until they broke out for two more in the 8th, picking up a 5-2 road win over the D-backs.

Slade Cecconi got the start for Arizona, going just four innings while giving up three runs and took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen. Paul Sewald got the save.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks were led by Eugenio Suarez and Ketel Marte, as they were the only two D-backs hitters to have more than one hit. Suarez and Geraldo Perdomo each homered for Arizona.

Atlanta is 5-5 in their last ten games and currently leading their series vs. the Diamondbacks, having won two of the first three games. Overall, the Braves are 51-40 and trail the Phillies by 8.5 games in the NL East.

When favored, the Braves are 48-33 straight up but 38-43 against the run line. Their games have averaged 8 runs this season, and the over/under record is 32-54. The over has hit in two straight games, and the O/U record in games with an 8-run total line is 4-6-1.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. Fried has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 7-4 with a 3.18 ERA. This season, he has turned in two complete games and one shutout. Fried has a WHIP of 1.15 and batting average allowed of .223. In his last outing, Fried took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a home run. Fried’s ERA on the road is 6.47 compared to 4.49 at home.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 75 RBIs are 3rd in the MLB. He is also 4th in the league with 24 homers while batting .296. Over his last eight games, he has gone deep three times while batting .290. Matt Olson is 2nd on the Braves with 13 homers, but he is batting just .237 for the season.

Atlanta’s offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is just 17th in the league. Overall, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league. The Braves have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are near the bottom of the league in terms of drawing walks.

Arizona has been a team that has been tough to predict on the run line, with a 47-46 record overall. As the underdog, they have a 30-22 run line record, but as the favorite, they are 17-24. The Diamondbacks are 23-23 at home and 23-24 on the road this season.

The Diamondbacks are currently in 3rd place in the NL West, two games behind the Padres for 2nd place. They have won three straight series and have an overall series record of 13-13-3 this year. Arizona’s games have averaged 9.8 runs per contest, resulting in a 49-41 over/under record for the season.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Through 18 starts, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 3-6 and an ERA of 4.19. He has made nine quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he finished with a no-decision. Against the Padres on July 6th, Pfaadt went 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and six hits. In that outing, he had six strikeouts. Looking back further, he has had two straight outings in which he finished with a no-decision and gave up one earned run. Pfaadt has made 10 starts on the road, going 1-4 with a 4.77 ERA compared to 2-2 with a 3.48 ERA at home.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .253, which is 6th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. Arizona has also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 8th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.

Christian Walker has been the team’s top power threat this season, as his 22 home runs are 6th in the league, and he also leads the Diamondbacks with 66 RBIs. Ketel Marte is batting .283 for the season and has 18 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team. Over his last five games, Eugenio Suarez is 6/19 with two homers, while Geraldo Perdomo is on a five-game hitting streak and went 7/14 in his last four games.

Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction

Our pick for this Braves vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +121. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Max Fried lasting longer in this one than Brandon Pfaadt. However, Fried is projected to finish with just five strikeouts, compared to Pfaadt, who we have finishing with six.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.