Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8/29/2024

The Atlanta Braves (73-60) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (78-55) on Thursday, August 29th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NSPPH. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-149)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Phillies have a strong home record with 44 wins and 24 losses this season.
  • Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
  • Phillies have won 5 out of their last 7 home games.
  • Phillies have a better overall record (78-55) compared to the Braves (73-60).
  • Phillies have won 3 out of their last 5 head-to-head games against the Braves.

Braves vs Phillies

atlanta braves nba

The Braves Are Coming Off A Win

The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Twins, closing out their series with a 5-1 win. After allowing one run to the Twins in the bottom of the first, the Braves responded with a run of their own. Atlanta went on to add another four runs in the 7th inning.

Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Jorge Soler, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

Atlanta is currently on a five-series winning streak, with an overall series record of 23-15-5. They have won five straight games and are five games behind the Phillies in the NL East, who lead the division with a 78-55 record.

On the run line, the Braves have a 36-33 record on the road, but overall, they are under .500. Their games have averaged 8.2 runs this season, and their over/under record is 49-79. When the O/U line is 8.5 runs, their record is 12-22, and 33.1% of their games have had that total line.

Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves

Right-hander Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 4.24. Morton’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Morton finished with a no-decision against the Nationals, giving up two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Morton is his walk total, as he is averaging 3.28 walks per nine innings compared to 9.09 strikeouts.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Braves’ offense is averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, the Braves are batting .242, which is 11th in the league, and they are 4th in the league in home runs. Marcell Ozuna is not only batting .309 for the season, but his 98 RBIs are 3rd in the league. Ozuna also has a team-high 37 homers.

Over the team’s last 10 games, Matt Olson has gone 10/39 with two home runs and 11 RBIs. This stretch has improved his season-long batting average to just .231. Ronald Acuna Jr. is also on a four-game hitting streak, and Marcell Ozuna has a three-game streak going.

The Phillies Took The Last Game Of This Series

Heading into their last game vs. the Astros, the Phillies closed out the series with a 10-0 loss. Philadelphia was the slight favorite at +105 on the money line. Things really got away from the Phillies in the 4th inning, as the Astros scored five runs in the inning. Philadelphia’s offense scored their only three runs in the 2nd.

Taijuan Walker had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on 13 hits and issuing three walks. The Phillies also only had three hits, all of which were singles. Walker took the loss and saw his record drop to 3-3 on the season.

Philadelphia is 78-55 overall and leads the NL East by five games over the Braves. They have won four straight games as the favorite and are 66-40 when favored this season. The Phillies are 44-24 at home and have won two straight series, including their most recent series vs. the Astros.

When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in these games is 11-13. Overall, their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, resulting in a 61-65 over/under record for the season.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Left-hander Cristopher Sánchez gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-9 with a 3.51 ERA. Sánchez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.27. In his 25 starts, he has pitched two complete games and has one shutout. Sánchez has a total of 14 quality starts this year. Looking back at his last outing, Sánchez took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league. The Phillies also come in with the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage and have been good at avoiding strikeouts.

Over the last seven games, J.T. Realmuto has gone 10/25 with two homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move his season-long batting average up to .291. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 28 homers, but he is batting just .242 this season. Bryce Harper is 11th in the league with 26 homers and is batting .277.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies. So, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -149. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Christopher Sanchez finishing with five strikeouts, and Charlie Morton with seven.

Offensively, we have the Phillies finishing with nine hits and the Braves with eight. However, we have the Braves finishing with more strikeouts than the Phillies. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under line, which is sitting at 8.5 runs. Our models have this one going under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.