Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 8/31/2024

The Atlanta Braves (74-61) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (79-56) on Saturday, August 31st. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on FOX. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.

Braves vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-146)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Phillies have a strong home record with 45 wins and 25 losses.
  • Phillies have won 6 out of their last 10 games.
  • Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • Phillies have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Phillies have a league rank of 2nd, indicating strong overall performance.

Braves vs Phillies

atlanta braves nba

Atlanta cruised to a 7-2 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 3rd inning, scoring two of their three runs and picking up three of their nine hits. On the other side, the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final run in the 7th.

Reynaldo Lopez started for the Braves and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued one walk. As for the Phillies, Ranger Suarez got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in just four innings of work.

At the plate, the Braves were led by Orlando Arcia and Sean Murphy, as they were the only two Atlanta hitters to have more than one hit. Arcia also homered twice and scored two runs. Matt Olson and Marcell Ozuna each had two hits and an RBI.

After taking the first two games of this series, the Braves are now 23-15-5 in series play this season. They are five games behind the Phillies in the NL East with a 74-61 overall record. Atlanta’s straight-up record as the favorite is 62-47, but they are 12-14 as underdogs.

When the Braves are on the road, they have a 38-33 straight-up record and a 7-0 run line record in their last seven games. The over has hit in 58.5% of their games this season, and their over/under record is 51-79. The current over/under line of 8 runs is low for the Braves, as their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 23 starts and has a record of 8-7 with a 3.50 ERA. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.20. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. Per nine innings, Fried is averaging 8.48 strikeouts and 3.1 walks. The last time he took the mound, Fried picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing.

Braves Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best home run hitting team and have the league’s 5th best isolated power mark. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 12th in the MLB.

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 98 RBIs is 3rd in the league. He also leads the Braves with a batting average of .309 and has gone deep 37 times. Ozuna is currently on a five-game hitting streak. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 13/40 in his last 10 games with four homers.

Philadelphia has a 79-56 record and is currently leading the NL East by five games over the Braves. They have won two straight series and are 23-15-6 in series play. The Phillies are 67-41 straight up as favorites and 51-57 against the run line in that role.

When the Phillies play at home, the over/under line is set at 8 runs, which matches their season average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 63-65, and the over has hit in their last two games.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Zack Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Braves at home. Wheeler has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 12-6 with an ERA of 2.75. So far, he has turned in 20 quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.00. Wheeler’s ERA at home is 2.71, and he has a record of 8-3 at home compared to 4-3 on the road. In his last outing, Wheeler finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 3rd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .258. Philadelphia has also done a good job of avoiding strikeouts this season, as they are the 14th toughest team in the league to strike out.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, as Harper’s 26 homers is 2nd on the team and Schwarber’s 28 leads the Phillies. Harper has also been swinging a hot bat of late, batting .394 over his last nine games. Alec Bohm has been the Phillies’ most consistent run producer, as his 89 RBIs are 10th in the league.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

With the payout for a Phillies win sitting at -146, this is the best way to play this game. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies, and at -146, they have an implied probability of 59.3% of winning this game.

Looking at some potential player props, Zack Wheeler is predicted to finish with five strikeouts, which would have him finishing 14th among starters. As for Max Fried, his predicted strikeout total is five, which would have him finishing 10th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.