Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 6/22/2024

The Milwaukee Brewers (44-32) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (40-40) on Saturday, June 22nd. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on FOX. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 6:15  CT.

Brewers vs Padres

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San Diego cruised to a 9-5 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Brewers, they scored four of their five runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -159 on the money line.

Christian Yelich, Brice Turang, and Willy Adames each homered for the Brewers. Yelich, Turang, and Luis Arraez each had two hits and two RBIs for Milwaukee’s offense.

Dylan Cease only went 4 2/3 innings for the Padres but gave up just four hits and struck out 10. He picked up a win in the game, while Stephen Kolek got the save. Colin Rea had a rough outing for the Brewers, taking the loss.

Milwaukee is on the road today, and they are 44-32 overall, putting them six games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, and these have come after winning two in a row. So far, they have been good in the division, going 18-9.

At home, the Brewers are 22-12 and have gone 22-20 on the road. Milwaukee has won four straight series heading into today’s game. As the favorite, the Brewers are 25-14 this year and 19-18 as the underdog. Their overall series record is 15-7-2.

When the Brewers are on the road, they are 24-18 against the run line, with an average run margin of 0.7. They are 15-24 against the run line as favorites and 24-13 against the run line as underdogs.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been a solid over team this season, with a 40-33 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, they are 2-3-2. Only 6.6% of their games have had lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their games have gone over the total in two straight contests.

Carlos Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Brewers

Carlos Rodriguez is getting the start for the Brewers on the road against the Padres. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he is still looking for his first win. Rodriguez has taken a loss in each of his first two starts, with his last outing coming against the Angels, where he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 5 runs.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Contreras is 3rd on the team with nine homers, while Adames is 11th in the league with 13 home runs. Adames also leads the team with 54 RBIs and is batting .247 for the season. Rhys Hoskins is 2nd on the team with 10 homers but is batting just .222.

Adames and Hoskins are both on good hitting streaks, with Adames having a three-game streak and Hoskins on a four-game streak. Over his last six games, Adames has gone 6/21 with two homers, while Brice Turang has gone 8/26 with one homer over his last six games.

With a record of 40-40, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West, and they trail the Dodgers by eight games for the division lead. The Padres have won three straight games, and they have taken a 2-0 series lead over the Brewers heading into today’s game. So far, they have gone 14-15 in divisional games this year.

San Diego has won five straight games at home, and they are 20-21 at home this year. On the road, the Padres are 20-19 this season. As the favorite, the Padres are 26-23, and they are 14-17 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Padres are 13-10-3 and have lost two straight series.

San Diego has been a profitable run line team this season, going 41-39 overall. They are 27-12 against the run line on the road, with an average scoring margin of +0.7 runs per game. The Padres have been an underdog in 31 games and have covered in 21 of those contests. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.

San Diego’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-39. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they are 1-3. Only 11.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, and they have gone over in two straight games.

Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today and comes into the game with a record of 1-4 and ERA of 5.70. Looking back at his last outing, Vásquez took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on 12 hits. In that start, he gave up two home runs. Before that outing, he had turned in three straight appearances in which he didn’t give up a home run. Vásquez has made nine starts this year and has two quality starts. Per nine innings, he has 5.91 strikeouts and just 1.9 walks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best so far this season, as they are 2nd in team batting average at .260 and are also 7th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 14th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest.

Jake Cronenworth has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/22 in his last five games with two homers and four RBIs. He is also 12th in the league with 49 RBIs. Manny Machado has also been on a tear, going 11/24 in his last six games, and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Brewers vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout being -114. We have the Padres winning this one by a final score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Randy Vásquez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Carlos Rodriguez with five. Vásquez is also projected to allow fewer hits than Rodriguez, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up a win.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.