Saint Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 7/19/2024

The St. Louis Cardinals (50-46) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (53-42) on Friday, July 19th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSE. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.

Cardinals vs. Braves Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Braves (-134)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Braves have won 6 out of their last 8 home games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Braves have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games.
  • The Braves have a home record of 29-17, compared to the Cardinals’ away record of 24-24.
  • The Braves have won 4 out of their last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage below .520.
  • In their last 15 games, the Braves have held their opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 8 games.

Cardinals vs Braves

st. louis cardinals nba

The Braves Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with an 8-3 loss. This was especially tough, as it was the Cardinals’ third straight loss. St. Louis was actually the slight favorite at home going into the game but fell behind early, as the Cubs scored two runs in the 2nd and another two in the 3rd. The Cardinals could only score three runs, all of which came in the 2nd inning.

Miles Mikolas took the loss, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up six earned runs on eight hits. Alec Burleson was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Brendan Donovan, who went 3/3 with a run scored.

St. Louis is 50-46 overall and 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 4.5 games. They have a 15-14 divisional record and have won two straight games on the road. The Cardinals’ overall series record this season is 16-12-3, and their most recent series vs. the Cubs ended in a split.

When the Cardinals are underdogs, they are 29-17 vs. the run line, but their straight-up O/U record in games with a 7.5 O/U line is 7-13. This season, 75% of their games have had higher O/U lines, and their current O/U streak is over 3 games.

Sonny Gray Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Sonny Gray will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Cubs, as he gets the start for the Cardinals today. In that July 12th start, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in seven innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has made 17 starts, and his record for the season is 9-6. The right-hander’s ERA is 3.34, along with a WHIP of 1.05. Opposing batters have a batting average of .210 vs. Gray this season. Out of his 17 starts, Gray has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 10.93 strikeouts per nine innings.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Cardinals offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, with a team total of 94. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 9th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of .310.

Over his last 10 games, Alec Burleson has gone 13/40 with four homers and 11 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs (53) while also leading the Cardinals with 17 homers. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are also near the top of the team’s home run leaderboard, but both players are batting under .230 for the season.

The Braves Are Coming Off A Win

Travis d’Arnaud had a big game at the plate for the Braves in their most recent game vs. the Padres, going 2/3 with two homers and four RBIs. The Braves really broke things open with a three-run 6th inning. Atlanta’s offense was also helped out by Chris Sale, who went only five innings, giving up just one run and picking up the win.

Raisel Iglesias closed things out for the Braves, picking up the save. Atlanta’s other reliever, Chris Martin, allowed two runs in the 8th, but the Braves were able to pick up the win.

Atlanta has a 53-42 record and is 8.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 29-17 at home and 24-25 on the road. The Braves are 49-34 as favorites and 4-8 as underdogs. Their overall series record is 18-11-3, and they have won two straight games at home.

Braves games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 33-57. When the total is 7.5, the O/U record is 6-10. Today’s O/U line is 7.5, and 76.8% of their games have had higher total lines than that.

Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves

Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. In that start vs. the Padres, he went 7 innings and gave up just one earned run. Looking back over his last three outings, Schwellenbach has gone at least 5 innings and has given up 4 earned runs twice. His ERA for the season is 4.43, along with a record of 3-4. Opponents are batting .241 off the right-hander this season. Overall, he has made four quality starts and is averaging 8.26 strikeouts per nine innings.

Braves Offense Breakdown

atlanta braves

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ best hitter this season, as he is batting .303 with 26 homers and 77 RBIs. His 77 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league. Ozuna has also been hot of late, going 11/31 in his last eight games with three homers. He also has a six-game hitting streak coming into the game. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 13 homers but is batting just .229.

Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is just 17th in the league. They have been an average team in terms of home runs, batting average, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are 12th in batting average and have the 12th best slugging percentage in the league.

Cardinals vs Braves Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Cardinals vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -134. We actually have the Braves winning this one by a score of 5-4, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Sonny Gray finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Spencer Schwellenbach with five. However, Schwellenbach is projected to go just 4 2/3 innings, while Gray is projected to go 5 1/3.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.