The Cincinnati Reds (54-58) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (42-71) on Tuesday, August 6th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Marlins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Reds vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (-154)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, including their most recent game against the Marlins where they scored 10 runs.
- The Reds have won 5 out of their last 7 road games, showing strong recent performance away from home.
- The Reds have a head-to-head win against the Marlins in their last matchup, scoring 10 runs to the Marlins’ 3.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 3 wins, indicating strong offensive output.
- The Reds have a winning record against teams with a losing record, and the Marlins currently have a 42-71 record.
Reds vs Marlins
Cincinnati cruised to a 10-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their ten runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Reds were favored at -142 on the money line.
Nick Martinez only went five innings for the Reds but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Roddery Munoz was tagged for four runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work and took the loss.
At the plate, the Reds were led by a huge game from Elly De La Cruz, who went 4/5 with two homers. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Ty France also had a three-hit game and drove in two runs.
As the road favorite, the Reds have a 9-4 straight-up record and a 33-20 run line record. Overall, they are 26-27 on the road and 54-58 for the season. Cincinnati is 8.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, with a 14-15 division record.
When the Reds are underdogs, they have a 36-23 run line record, but as favorites, it drops to 23-30. The over/under record for Reds games this season is 50-58, with an average of 8.5 runs per game. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is lower than their average line of 9 runs, and their current over streak is at 3 games.
Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Marlins. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.99 ERA. Lodolo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 17 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.28 strikeouts per nine innings. Lodolo’s last outing came vs. the Cubs, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Lodolo has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-1 and 2.85 ERA compared to 4-3 with a 5.24 ERA at home.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game with a team-high 20 home runs and is batting .261 for the season. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/36 in his last nine games, including two homers. Spencer Steer is also near the top of the Reds’ home run leaderboard, but he is batting just .229 this season.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. This season, they are batting just .229, which is 19th in the league. Cincinnati’s offense is also 11th in home runs. Currently, they have a few players on some nice hitting streaks, as Jeimer Candelario and Nick Martini are both on three-game streaks.
This season, the Marlins have gone 53-60 against the run line, with a 51-45 record as underdogs. However, as favorites, they have struggled with a 2-15 run line record. Miami’s average run differential in wins is +2.8, while in losses, it’s -3.7.
Miami is 24.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, with an overall record of 42-71. They are in 5th place in the division, just 2-1 behind the Nationals for 4th place. The Marlins have an over/under record of 16-10-2 when the total is set at 8 runs, and 55 of their games have had over/under lines higher than 8 runs, making up 48.7% of their games this season.
Max Meyer Gets The Start For The Marlins
Max Meyer is getting the start for the Marlins at home against the Reds. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he has a win and a no-decision so far. Meyer has gone 5 innings in each of his first 2 starts and is coming off a loss to the Braves, where he gave up 4 runs in 5 innings of work.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Over the past seven games, Jake Burger has been swinging a hot bat for the Marlins, going 9/29 with four homers and eight RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs (47) and put him at the top of the team’s home run leaderboard. Xavier Edwards is also on a hot streak, going 11/28 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs scored and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. Overall, they are batting just .238, which is 14th in the MLB. So far, they have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4 runs per game.
Reds vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Reds and Marlins matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Reds. With the Reds picking up the win, the best way to play this game is to take them on the money line, where you can get them at -154.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Max Meyer finishing with more strikeouts than Nick Lodolo. Meyer is projected to finish with seven K’s, while Lodolo is projected to finish with six.
Offensively, the Reds are projected to finish with eight hits, compared to the Marlins, who we have finishing with nine. However, the Reds are projected to finish with more home runs, and for the Marlins, they are predicted to finish with four runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 6, 2024 Marlins, Reds