The Cincinnati Reds (72-77) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (78-69) on Saturday, September 14th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on MLBN. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Reds vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-153)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Twins have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have a higher home win percentage (.562) compared to the Reds’ away win percentage (.480).
- The Twins have outscored their opponents by 14 runs in their last 5 home games.
- The Twins have a 3-2 record in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record, while the Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record.
Reds vs Twins
Cincinnati cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 7th inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Twins, they scored their only four runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +200 on the money line.
Julian Aguiar started for the Reds and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Bailey Ober had a rough outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going 6 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
At the plate, the Reds were led by TJ Friedl, who went 3/4 with a home run. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Elly De La Cruz also had a three RBI game for Cincinnati’s offense.
Currently, the Reds are 4th in the NL Central, 14 games behind the Brewers, with a 72-77 record. They have a 21-25 record in divisional games this season and are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
On the run line, the Reds have been more profitable on the road with a 46-28 record, compared to 27-39 at home. As underdogs, they have a 54-29 run line record, while as favorites, they are 27-39. The average total runs in their games this season is 8.7, and their over/under record is 68-74.
Nick Martinez Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending right-hander Nick Martinez to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 13 starts this year and turned in a solid outing his last time out, going seven innings and picking up the win vs. the Braves. In that outing, he didn’t give up a run and only gave up two hits. Looking back at his last three outings, Martinez has allowed just one earned run in each of those starts. Martinez’s ERA for the season is 3.46, along with a record of 8-6. For the year, he has allowed 13 homers and is averaging 7.21 strikeouts per nine innings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .259 with a team-leading 24 home runs. However, he is just 8/36 in his last 10 games. Spencer Steer is the team’s top run producer, as his 86 RBIs are 15th in the league. He has 19 homers but is batting just .231 for the season.
Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 13th in the league in homers. However, they are batting just .232 as a team and are 20th in on-base percentage. As a team, they are just 18th in OPS and have the 24th most strikeouts in the league.
Minnesota has struggled lately, losing seven of their last ten games and dropping the first game of the series against the Reds. They are currently 5.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, with an overall record of 78-69.
This season, the Twins have a 62-40 record as favorites, but they are just 16-29 as underdogs. Their overall series record stands at 26-17-4, and their over/under record is 74-67. The over has hit in three straight games, and the average runs scored in Twins games this season is 9.1.
Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.96 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on three hits. Before that, he had pitched at least 4 2/3 innings in three straight outings. Woods Richardson has made seven quality starts this season and is averaging 7.63 strikeouts per nine innings.
Twins Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. Minnesota’s offense has been led by Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers, who are 1st and 2nd on the team in home runs, respectively.
Carlos Santana comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is also the team’s leader in RBIs (63). Over his last seven games, Kyle Farmer has gone 7/14 with three homers and five RBIs. Matt Wallner has also hit three homers in his last nine games but has just an average of .250 over that stretch.
Reds vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for this Reds vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at -153. We actually have the Twins winning this one 5-4, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitcher matchups, Simeon Woods Richardson has a higher projected strikeout total than Nick Martinez, but we actually have Martinez finishing with fewer earned runs allowed. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Twins win with Woods Richardson to pick up the win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 14, 2024 Reds, Twins