The Cincinnati Reds (68-75) travel to face off against the New York Mets (78-64) on Sunday, September 8th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on BSOH. The Mets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Reds vs. Mets Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+169)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
- The Reds have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with winning records, indicating strong performance against tough opponents.
- The Reds have a recent win against the Mets, scoring 4 runs and allowing only 3 on August 11th.
- The Reds have a balanced away record with 32 wins and 36 losses, showing they can compete on the road.
- The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games, demonstrating consistent offensive production.
Reds vs Mets
New York picked up a 4-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Reds, they had their best chance to score in the 7th, but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -154 on the money line.
Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Sam Moll took the loss for the Reds out of the bullpen.
Harrison Bader provided the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Santiago Espinal also had a two-hit game for Cincinnati.
On the run line, the Reds have a 41-27 record on the road, but they have failed to cover in their last three road games and only covered in two of their last five games as the favorite. Cincinnati is 68-75 overall and 14.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They are also 4.5 games behind the Cubs for the final Wild Card spot.
This season, the Reds are 35-42 as the underdog and 20-30 as the road underdog. Their overall series record is 17-25-3. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is below their season average of 8.8 runs per game. So far, 70.6% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 8 runs.
Julian Aguiar Gets The Start For The Reds
Julian Aguiar is getting the start for the Reds on the road against the Mets. He has made two starts so far this season, and both have been at home. In his last outing, he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs. Aguiar has yet to give up a home run this season.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game with a team-high 23 home runs and is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just 4/19 in his last five games. Over that same stretch, he has one homer and five runs scored. The Reds will be looking for a bounce-back game from De La Cruz, as they need his power bat in the middle of the lineup.
Spencer Steer has been the Reds’ most consistent run producer this season, as his 86 RBIs are 15th in the league and lead the team. He has 19 homers this season but is batting just .233. The Reds’ offense is 15th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.5 runs per game.
Heading into today’s game, the Mets have won nine straight games and hold a 78-64 record, putting them seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East. As the favorite, they have a 51-35 record and are 33-22 at home when favored. The Mets have covered the run line in five straight games at home and have an overall run line record of 72-70.
For the season, Mets games have averaged 9.2 runs, and they have gone over the total in 14 out of 78 games with over/under lines higher than today’s line of 8 runs.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work. In that outing vs. the Red Sox, he allowed just six hits and issued two walks. Overall, Severino is 10-6 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Opposing batters are hitting .234 off the right-hander this season. Severino has one complete game shutout and 11 quality starts this year. Looking back, he has won three straight outings. Severino’s ERA on the road is 4.95 compared to 3.74 at home.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 4th best home run hitting team in the league and have a team batting average of .249, which is 8th in the MLB. As a team, they are also 8th in on-base percentage and 7th in slugging.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power hitters this season, with Lindor having 30 homers and Alonso at 31. Lindor is also 3rd on the team with a batting average of .272, while Alonso is batting .240. Lindor comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 3/5 in their last five games, with three homers.
Reds vs Mets Prediction
Our predicted score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Reds, and with the Reds sitting at +169 on the money line, that is the bet we would recommend. Looking at the starters, Julian Aguiar is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the seventh-best among all starters today.
As for Luis Severino, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and the Mets are projected to pick up a loss. Offensively, we have the Reds finishing with 11 hits compared to the Mets with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 8, 2024 Mets, Reds