The Kansas City Royals (86-76) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (91-71) on Wednesday, October 2nd. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on ESPN. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 3:38 CT.
Royals vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Royals (+134)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
- Royals have won 4 out of their last 5 away games.
- Royals have scored an average of 4.2 runs per game in their last 5 away games.
- Royals have a recent win against the Orioles, scoring 4 runs and allowing only 1 run.
- Royals have a better away record (41-40) compared to Orioles’ home record (44-37).
- Royals have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
Royals vs Orioles
Thanks to a good outing from Cole Ragans, the Royals picked up a 1-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were at +124 on the money line.
Ragans went six innings and struck out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Lucas Erceg got the save. Corbin Burnes had a good outing for the Orioles in the loss, going eight innings and giving up just one run.
The only run of the game came in the 6th inning, as the Royals were able to push across the game’s only run. Heading into that inning, both teams had just two hits.
As the Royals prepare for game two against the Orioles, they hold a 1-0 series lead and are on the road. Kansas City finished the regular season with an 86-76 record, going 45-36 at home and 41-40 on the road. They’ve won two straight on the road and as underdogs.
Kansas City’s run line record is 90-73, with a +0.7 scoring margin on the road. They’ve covered the run line in three consecutive road games. The under has hit in their last four games, and their over/under record is 69-89. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.5 runs.
Seth Lugo Gets The Start For The Royals
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far, he has made 33 starts and has a record of 16-9 with an ERA of 3.00. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his 33 appearances, he has turned in 22 quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he went just two innings and didn’t give up a run. Lugo has been tough to beat on the road, coming in with a record of 9-3 and an ERA of 3.03. At home, his ERA is 3.59, and he is 7-6.
Royals Offense Breakdown
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 32 home runs are the best mark on the team and 12th best in the league. He is also hitting .332, which is the best mark on the team. Salvador Perez is also a power threat, as he has 27 homers and is 8th in the league with 104 RBIs. Perez comes into the game with a batting average of .271.
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are one of the best hitting teams in the league in terms of batting average. However, they have been one of the league’s worst teams in terms of drawing walks and have a collective on-base percentage of just .306. Kansas City’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.
Facing a must-win game two against Kansas City, Baltimore looks to even the series as they return home. The Orioles finished the regular season with a 91-71 record, going 44-37 at home and 47-34 on the road. They’ve lost three straight at home and as the favorite.
On the run line, Baltimore went 87-76 this season, with a 38-44 home record. They’ve dropped three straight at home against the run line. The Orioles’ over/under record is 87-64, while 79.6% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line.
Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Zach Eflin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces off against the Royals. Eflin has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 10-9 with a 3.59 ERA. So far, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings. Eflin’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.15. In his last outing, Eflin finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. He has not won a game since August 25th.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Orioles are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Baltimore’s offense has been one of the league’s best power-hitting teams, as they are 2nd in home runs and have the league’s 2nd best isolated power figure.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson are the Orioles’ top two home run hitters this season, and they have also been driving in runs at a high rate. Henderson is batting .281 and has 92 RBIs, while Santander is hitting just .235 but has gone deep 44 times and has 102 RBIs. Both players have been hot of late, with Santander going 5/13 with two homers in his last five games, and Henderson is 5/9 in that stretch.
Royals vs Orioles Prediction
Our pick for today’s Royals vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at +134. We have the Royals winning this one by a final score of 4-3, giving us a little wiggle room with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Zach Eflin finishing with the third-fewest strikeouts among today’s starters, and he is also projected to give up the most hits among all starters. As for Seth Lugo, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and his team, the Royals, are projected to finish with eight as a team.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:October 2, 2024 Orioles, Royals