The Kansas City Royals (52-43) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (51-42) on Saturday, July 13th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Royals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Royals. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Royals vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Red Sox (-131)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Red Sox have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- The Red Sox have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
- The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Royals have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.
- The Royals have a 21-25 away record, while the Red Sox have a 22-25 home record, indicating a slight home-field advantage for the Red Sox.
Royals vs Red Sox
Thanks to a two-home run performance from MJ Melendez, the Royals cruised to a 6-1 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Royals were favored at -113 on the money line.
Melendez wasn’t the only Royals hitter to have a good game, as both Bobby Witt Jr. and Adam Frazier each had two hits and scored two runs. Salvador Perez also drove in two runs while going 1/3.
Kansas City got to Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell, who gave up two homers and six runs in just six innings of work. As for the Royals, Cole Ragans put together a good outing, getting the win after going seven innings and giving up just one earned run.
With a 52-43 record, the Royals are six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They have won four straight games and took the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. Against the run line, the Royals are 54-41 overall and 25-21 on the road.
This season, the Royals have played to the over in 40 of their 92 games, and their average total line is 8 runs. When the O/U line is 9 runs, the over has hit in 6 of 13 games. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, slightly higher than their season average of 8.5 runs per game.
Seth Lugo Gets The Start For The Royals
Seth Lugo gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. This year, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 11-3 with an ERA of 2.21. Lugo’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.04. In his 19 appearances, he has turned in 15 quality starts. Lugo’s most recent outing came on July 6th, where he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone two straight starts without giving up an earned run. The right-hander has allowed a total of 10 home runs this season.
Royals Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. At home, they are even better, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, and are batting a collective .247, which is 8th in the MLB. One area they have struggled in is drawing walks, as they are currently 20th in that category.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been on a tear of late, hitting .500 over his last 10 games with four homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .327 with 16 homers and 63 RBIs. Salvador Perez and Vinnie Pasquantino are also near the top of the home run leaderboard, with 16 and 11 homers, respectively. Perez comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak.
Currently, the Red Sox are 5.5 games behind the Orioles in the AL East and trail the Yankees by 1.5 games for the second spot in the division. Boston has a 51-42 overall record and has won three straight series, bringing their series record to 15-10-5 for the season.
When the Red Sox are underdogs, they have been profitable on the run line with a 27-19 record, but as favorites, they have struggled with a 17-30 run line record. In over/under betting, they have a 44-43 record, and the under has hit in their last three games. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, and Boston’s games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season.
Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today vs. the Royals and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that start vs. the Yankees, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Crawford has won his last two outings and has a record of 5-7 this season with a 3.24 ERA. Looking at his home/away splits, he has gone 3-2 on the road with a 2.36 ERA compared to 2-5 at home with a 4.34 ERA. Overall, he has made 18 starts, 10 of which were quality starts.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
The Red Sox offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Boston is also near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging, and they have the league’s best BABIP at .32. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the league.
Rafael Devers has been one of the best power hitters in the league this season, as his 21 homers are 7th in the MLB. He is also 11th in the league with 58 RBIs. Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 with two homers over his last five games. Jarren Duran is batting .275 for the season and is 4th on the team with 10 home runs.
Royals vs Red Sox Prediction
Our prediction for this game is that the Red Sox will pick up a 6-5 win over the Royals. With the Red Sox picking up the win, we recommend taking them on the money line, where the payout is -131.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Seth Lugo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for 12th among all starters. As for Kutter Crawford, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is sixth best.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 13, 2024 Red Sox, Royals