Cleveland Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7/27/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (62-41) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (64-39) on Saturday, July 27th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:05 CT.

Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-159)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Phillies have a strong home record with 37 wins and 17 losses, indicating they perform well at home.
  • In their last 15 games, the Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, showing a potent offense.
  • The Phillies have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, demonstrating recent success at home.
  • In the last 15 games, the Phillies have held their opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 6 games, indicating strong starting pitching and defense.
  • The Phillies have a league-leading record of 64-39, showcasing their overall season dominance.

Guardians vs Phillies

cleveland guardians nba

Cleveland picked up a 3-1 road win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run 4th inning and added an insurance run in the 5th, while the Phillies got on the board with one run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at +155 on the money line.

Ben Lively started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Cristopher Sanchez got the start for the Phillies and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Guardians were led by Angel Martinez and Andres Gimenez, as they were the only two Cleveland hitters to have more than one hit. Martinez. Philadelphia’s top hitter was Bryson Stott, who went 3/4 with a home run.

Cleveland is leading the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins with an overall record of 62-41. They have a series record of 20-10-3 this season and have taken the first game of this series vs. the Phillies. As the favorite, the Guardians are 45-23, but as the underdog, they are 17-18.

On the run line, the Guardians are 28-27 in away games, with an average run margin of +0.7. Their overall run line record is 50-53, with an average run margin of +0.8. This season, their games have averaged 8.4 runs, and their O/U record is 49-48. The under has hit in their last three games.

Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Carlos Carrasco to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 3-8 with an ERA of 5.32. Carrasco’s WHIP for the season is 1.38, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his most recent outing, Carrasco took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back over his last four starts, he has finished with a no-decision in three of them. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in each of his last four outings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez is having an excellent season for the Guardians, as he is batting .270 with 24 home runs and 82 RBIs, both of which are the best marks on the team. Josh Naylor is also having a solid season, with 22 homers and 72 RBIs, but he is batting just .238 for the year. Over his last five games, Ramirez has gone 5/20, while Naylor and Steven Kwan are also hitting .250 over this stretch.

As a team, the Guardians are 12th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.6 runs per game. This has been split almost evenly between their home and road games, as they are averaging 4.5 runs per game on the road and 4.7 runs per game at home. Overall, they are batting .241 and have the 12th best on-base percentage in the league.

Philadelphia’s overall series record this season is 19-11-5, but they have lost three straight series heading into today’s game. The Phillies are looking to end a two-game losing streak and improve their 64-39 record, which has them leading the NL East by nine games over the Mets.

As favorites, the Phillies have a 56-31 straight-up record, but against the run line, they are 27-27 at home and 52-51 overall. The average run margin in their games is +1.0, and their over/under record is 46-52. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their O/U record is 3-8-1 this season.

Tyler Phillips Gets The Start For The Phillies

Tyler Phillips is getting the start for the Phillies at home against the Guardians. He has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up wins in both outings. Phillips went 6 innings in each of his starts, striking out 5 and 3, respectively.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 6th ranked home run hitting team and are batting .256, which is 3rd in the MLB right now. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they are 3rd in on-base percentage and 5th in walks.

Over his last 10 games, Alec Bohm has gone 12/36 and is batting .296 for the season. He is also the team’s top run producer, with 71 RBIs. Bryce Harper has also been a key run producer for the Phillies, as he is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs and has gone deep 23 times this season.

Guardians vs Phillies Prediction

Our pick for today’s Guardians vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -159. We actually have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 9 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Carlos Carrasco is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the ninth lowest among today’s starters. As for Tyler Phillips, we have him finishing with four strikeouts as well, which is tied for the third lowest.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.