Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 7/8/2024

The Colorado Rockies (32-58) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (42-48) on Monday, July 8th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. Both the Rockies and Reds are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:10  CT.

Rockies vs. Reds Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Reds (-185)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 9.5 Runs
  • The Reds have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last 15 games.
  • The Reds have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • The Reds have a recent head-to-head advantage, winning all three games against the Rockies in their last series.
  • The Reds have scored 11 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showing potential for high offensive output.
  • The Rockies have lost 7 of their last 10 away games.

Rockies vs Reds

colorado rockies nba

The Reds Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Royals with a 10-1 loss. Colorado was the +146 underdog at home going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Rockies in the 2nd inning, as the Royals scored four runs in the inning. Colorado’s offense scored their only run in the 3rd.

Tanner Gordon got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted 6 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs on eight hits. Jake Cave had a good day at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.

Colorado’s overall record of 32-58 has them in 5th place in the NL West, 22.5 games behind the Dodgers. They are 12-31 on the road and 20-27 at home. The Rockies have a 5-21-3 series record and are 44-46 against the run line.

As underdogs, the Rockies have a 32-58 record straight up and are 20-23 vs. the run line on the road. The O/U line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, lower than their season average of 10 runs per game. This season, 45.6% of their games have had O/U lines higher than 9.5 runs.

Ryan Feltner Gets The Start For The Rockies

Ryan Feltner gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Reds on the road. So far this season, he has made 17 starts and has a record of 1-7 with an ERA of 5.60. Feltner’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.46. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Looking back further, Feltner has allowed at least two earned runs in each of his last four outings. Feltner has given up a total of 12 homers this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 2.45 walks compared to 7.66 strikeouts.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

Colorado comes into today’s game averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league, and have the 3rd best BABIP in the MLB. The Rockies have been striking out a lot this season and are also near the bottom of the league in walks.

Ryan McMahon is leading the Rockies in home runs this season, and his 45 RBIs are the best mark on the team. He is also batting .272 for the season. Ezequiel Tovar is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has 12 homers this season, which is 15th in the league. Tovar has gone 11/30 in his last eight games, with four homers.

The Reds Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Reds will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Tigers scored three runs in the top of the 8th. Cincinnati was the +120 underdog at home going into the game.

Graham Ashcraft got the start for the Reds and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up just one earned run, but Cincinnati’s bullpen couldn’t hold the lead. The Reds also wasted a big game from Jonathan India, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

Currently on a five-game losing streak at home on the run line, the Reds are 18-28 ATS at home. They are 20-18 as favorites straight up but 4-8 on the run line in their last 12 games as the favorite. The over has hit in 14 of 22 games with a 9.5 run total line.

After being swept by the Tigers, the Reds are 10.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, sitting in 4th place with a 42-48 record. They have an overall series record of 9-17-3 and have lost three straight games heading into today’s matchup.

Andrew Abbott Gets The Start For The Reds

Cincinnati is sending Andrew Abbott to the mound today vs. the Rockies, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Yankees, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has won three straight starts and has given up two earned runs or fewer in each of those outings. For the season, Abbott is 8-6 with a 3.28 ERA. Out of his 17 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 6.94 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 16 homers and is averaging 3.37 walks per nine innings.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer have been the Reds’ top power threats this season, as De La Cruz’s 15 homers are the best mark on the team and 12th in the league, while Steer is just behind him with 13 homers. Steer has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/19 in his last five games with three homers and six RBIs. Overall, Steer is batting .243, and De La Cruz is hitting .247.

As a team, the Reds are 17th in scoring at 4.2 runs per game, and they are batting just .225, which is also 17th in the league. So far, they have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game, compared to 4.0 at home. Currently, Jeimer Candelario is on a four-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 14 homers.

Rockies vs Reds Prediction

We see the best value in this Rockies vs. Reds matchup coming from the over/under line, and we are predicting that the Reds will pick up a 5-4 win. However, at -185, there isn’t enough value in the money line, and we would recommend taking the under at 9.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Feltner is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Andrew Abbott, who is projected to finish with five. However, we have Abbott finishing with a better chance of picking up the win.

Offensively, the Reds lineup is projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Rockies with eight. The Reds are also projected to finish with more home runs, and in terms of team strikeouts, the Rockies are projected to finish with more.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.