The Detroit Tigers (39-48) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (42-45) on Friday, July 5th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on APLTV. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Tigers vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (-113)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- The Reds have won 3 consecutive games, showcasing strong recent form.
- In the last 15 games, the Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, indicating a potent offense.
- The Reds have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, demonstrating consistent performance.
- The Reds have a balanced home record of 20-23, while the Tigers have a poor away record of 20-26.
- The Reds have outscored their opponents 66 to 51 in their last 15 games, showing a positive run differential.
Tigers vs Reds
The Reds Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 12-3 loss. Detroit was the +153 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Tigers, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Twins scored two runs in the bottom of the first.
Detroit started Kenta Maeda, and he took the loss, going only 3 2/3 innings, and giving up nine earned runs on nine hits. The Tigers also issued three walks and hit a batter. Colt Keith had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and scoring Detroit’s other two runs.
Detroit’s recent struggles are reflected in their 3-7 record over their last ten games and three straight series losses. Their overall series record stands at 10-14-4. Against the run line, the Tigers have a 37-50 record, and they have only covered the run line in 9 of the 38 games where they were favored.
With a 39-48 overall record, the Tigers are 16 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. As underdogs, they hold a 20-29 record, and they are 19-19 as favorites. The over has hit in 47 of their 85 games this season, with games averaging 8.5 runs per game.
Reese Olson Gets The Start For The Tigers
Right-hander Reese Olson gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Reds on the road. So far, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 2-8 with an ERA of 3.33. Looking at his overall numbers, Olson has a WHIP of 1.20 and has turned in eight quality starts this year. In his most recent outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone six straight starts without giving up more than two earned runs. Opponents are batting .234 off Olson this year.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Over his last 10 games, Riley Greene has gone 9/36, and he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .259 and leads the Tigers with 43 RBIs. Greene’s 16 homers is 10th in the league and is also the top mark on the team. Justyn-Henry Malloy has two homers in his last eight games and is batting .269 during this stretch.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Detroit is also one of the worst teams in terms of strikeouts and walks. Overall, they are batting just .228.
The Reds Are Coming Off A Win
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Yankees, closing out their series with an 8-4 win. After allowing one run to the Yankees in the 2nd inning, the Reds responded with a run of their own and added three more in the 5th. Cincinnati went on to close out the 8th with another three runs. The Reds were the +155 underdog going into this road game.
Frankie Montas got the start for the Reds, going five innings and giving up just two runs on four hits. He only had four strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Heading into today’s game, Cincinnati has won three straight and are 9.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, holding a 42-45 overall record. The Reds have a 20-23 home record and are 22-22 on the road. As underdogs, they are 22-29, and as favorites, they are 20-16.
For run line bettors, the Reds have been a good bet on the road with a 30-14 record but not as much at home, where they are 18-25. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their O/U record is 38-46. So far, 27 of their games have had totals over 9 runs, making up 31% of their games.
Carson Spiers Gets The Start For The Reds
Right-hander Carson Spiers gets the start for the Reds today as he faces off against the Tigers at home. So far, he has made three starts and eight total appearances. Spiers’ record for the season is 2-1, and he has an ERA of 3.13. Looking at his overall numbers, Spiers has a WHIP of 1.15 and opponents are batting .242 this season. In his 37 1/3 innings of work, Spiers has issued just 1.69 walks per nine innings compared to 6.99 strikeouts. The last time he pitched, Spiers picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top home run hitter, as his 15 homers is the best mark on the team and 11th in the league. He is also 3rd on the team in RBIs and has a batting average of .252. However, he has struggled of late, going 5/24 in his last six games. Jonathan India has been swinging the bat well for the Reds, going 8/23 in his last six games.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They are also 15th in home runs and have a team batting average of just .227. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.5 runs per game.
Tigers vs Reds Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is 6-4 in favor of the Reds, and with them having a money line of -113, they are our recommended pick. Offensively, we have the Reds finishing with just six hits, which is 21st in the league today.
Looking at the Tigers, they are projected to finish with just four runs, which is the eighth lowest in the league. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to the over/under line, as the line is sitting at nine runs, and we have this one going over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 5, 2024 Reds, Tigers