Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction 1

MLB Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction 10/2/2024

The Detroit Tigers (86-76) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (88-73) on Wednesday, October 2nd. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on ABC. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 1:32 CT.

Tigers vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-178)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
  • The Astros have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • In their last 15 home games, the Astros have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game.
  • The Astros have a home record of 46-35, showing they perform well at home.
  • In their last 3 home games against the Tigers, the Astros have outscored them 13-6.
  • The Astros have a higher league rank (4th) compared to the Tigers (6th), indicating overall better performance this season.

Tigers vs Astros

detroit tigers nba

Detroit rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Astros series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 3-1 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +121 on the money line.

Tarik Skubal pitched well for the Tigers in the win, going six innings and striking out six without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Beau Brieske got the save. Framber Valdez had a rough outing for the Astros, taking the loss.

Offensively, the Tigers were led by Jake Rogers and Wenceel Perez, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Yordan Alvarez had a two-hit game for the Astros.

As the Tigers prepare for game two of their series against the Astros, they hold a 1-0 lead and will look to close out the series on the road. Detroit finished the regular season with a 43-38 record at home and on the road. They’ve won three straight road games and three straight as underdogs.

Detroit’s run line record for the season is 87-76, with a 52-30 mark on the road. They’ve also covered the run line in three consecutive road games. As underdogs, their run line record is 63-34. The Tigers’ over/under record is 78-80, and 61.7% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line.

Tyler Holton Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tyler Holton gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Astros on the road. This year, he has made nine starts and 67 appearances. Holton’s ERA is currently 2.19, and he has a record of 7-2. The last time he pitched was on October 1st out of the bullpen, where he went one-third of an inning and didn’t give up a run. Holton finished with a no-decision in that outing. Leading up to today’s start, he has finished with a no-decision in four straight appearances. Holton’s WHIP for the season is .78.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the 19th ranked home run hitting team in the league, and they are batting a combined .234. Detroit’s team on-base percentage is just .300, which is 21st in the league. As a team, they are averaging 9 strikeouts per game.

Over his last eight games, Kerry Carpenter is hitting .273 with three homers and seven RBIs. For the season, Carpenter is batting .284 with 18 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Riley Greene is the team’s top home run hitter with 24 and is batting .262 for the season. Greene has gone 10/36 in his last nine games.

Facing a must-win situation, the Astros look to even their series against Detroit, who leads 1-0 in this best-of-three matchup. Houston finished the regular season with an 88-73 record, going 46-35 at home and 42-38 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 67-52 mark, while going 21-22 as underdogs.

On the run line, Houston went 83-79 overall, including 38-44 at home. They’ve dropped five straight home games against the run line. The under has hit in three consecutive Astros games, and their overall O/U record is 65-91. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.6 runs.

Hunter Brown Gets The Start For The Astros

Hunter Brown gets the start for the Astros today and will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Mariners. In that start, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Looking at his overall numbers, Brown has made 30 starts and has a record of 11-9. His ERA for the season is 3.49, along with a WHIP of 1.27. Opposing batters are hitting .232 off Brown this season. Out of his 30 starts, Brown has turned in 19 quality starts and is averaging 9.48 strikeouts per nine innings.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

Yordan Alvarez has been one of the top power hitters in the league this season, as his 35 home runs lead the Astros and is 9th in the MLB. He also comes into the game with a team-high 86 RBIs. Alvarez is batting .308 for the season, and he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games, with two homers and five RBIs.

As a team, the Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They are also one of the league’s top home run hitting teams and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league. Overall, their team OPS of .740 is 7th in the league.

Tigers vs Astros Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 4-3 in favor of the Astros, giving us a good amount of wiggle room if you’re looking to take the money line. However, we’re actually recommending taking the under, as we see there being a good amount of value with the line sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Holton has the lowest strikeout projection among all starters, and we actually have Hunter Brown finishing with the most strikeouts today. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, Brown’s Ks could be a good option.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.