Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs MLB betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs Prediction 7/21/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (51-48) travel to face off against the Chicago Cubs (47-53) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Wrigley Field in Chicago and televised on MARQ. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cubs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 1:20 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (+111)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Diamondbacks have won 10 of their last 15 games.
  • In the last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have averaged 6.2 runs per game.
  • The Diamondbacks have won 4 out of their last 5 road games.
  • The Diamondbacks have a 2-0 record against the Cubs in their last two meetings.
  • The Diamondbacks have a +21 run differential over their last 15 games.

Diamondbacks vs Cubs

arizona diamondbacks nba

Arizona cruised to a 3-0 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Diamondbacks had a huge 5th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Cubs, they had just four hits and didn’t score a run in the game. Heading into the game, the Diamondbacks were favored at -136 on the money line.

Zac Gallen started for the Diamondbacks and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued six walks. Kyle Hendricks got the start for the Cubs and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, the Diamondbacks were led by Alek Thomas and Corbin Carroll, as they were the only two Arizona hitters to have more than one hit. Thomas also hit the game’s only home run. As for the Cubs, Miguel Amaya went 2/3 with two singles.

Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, with a 28-21 record. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 32-22 as underdogs. The Diamondbacks have an average run margin of +0.6 on the road this season. Overall, they are 51-48 and have won two straight games, entering today’s contest.

This season, the Diamondbacks have played in 84 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, with a 52-44 over/under record. Their games have had an average of 9.7 runs per game, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 6-4. The O/U record for their last 10 games is 6-4.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 4-6 with a 3.97 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Pfaadt picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run to the Braves. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Pfaadt has allowed a total of 14 home runs this year.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 3rd in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 5th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. The Diamondbacks have been seeing the ball well of late, as Ketel Marte has gone 12/28 in his last eight games, and Eugenio Suarez has three homers in his last eight games.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Walker’s 22 homers leading the team and Marte’s 19 homers being the 2nd most on the team. Walker’s 68 RBIs are 5th in the league, and Marte’s 57 RBIs are 15th in the MLB.

Chicago is 5th in the NL Central with a 47-53 record, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. They have lost two straight games and have a 12-21 record against divisional opponents. As underdogs, the Cubs have a 36-19 run line record but are 13-32 as favorites.

This season, Cubs games have averaged 8.4 runs, resulting in a 43-53 over/under record. The over has hit in 55.6% of games with a total of 7.5 runs. Currently, the Cubs are on a two-game under streak.

Shota Imanaga Gets The Start For The Cubs

Shota Imanaga gets the start for the Cubs today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Orioles, where he didn’t give up a run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up just one homer. Imanaga has made 17 appearances this year and has a record of 8-2 with a 2.97 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .240 vs. Imanaga this year. He has made 11 quality starts and is averaging 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings. At home, Imanaga has an ERA of 4.83 compared to 2.89 on the road.

Cubs Offense Breakdown

chicago cubs

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, as they are averaging just 4.2 runs per game (23rd in the MLB). This is also the 22nd and 21st ranked scoring offense in terms of runs per game at home and on the road, respectively. As a team, the Cubs are batting .234, which is 16th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.

Christopher Morel has struggled this season, hitting just .202, but he does lead the team with 18 home runs. Morel has been swinging the bat better of late, going 8/35 in his last nine games with three homers. Nico Hoerner has also been swinging the bat well, hitting .350 in this stretch. Hoerner is batting .258 for the season and has four homers.

Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction

Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Cubs matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line at +111. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brandon Pfaadt finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the ninth lowest among all starters today. As for the Cubs starter, Shota Imanaga, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is the seventh highest among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.