Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 9/16/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (83-66) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (57-93) on Monday, September 16th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (-169)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 11 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have won 4 out of their last 6 road games.
  • Diamondbacks have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 6 wins.
  • Diamondbacks have a 5-1 record against the Rockies this season.
  • Diamondbacks have a +22 run differential over their last 15 games.
  • Rockies have lost 8 of their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies

arizona diamondbacks nba

The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win

The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with an 11-10 win. After allowing two runs to the Brewers in the top of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with two runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 3rd inning.

Things really got crazy in the 5th inning, as the Brewers scored three runs to tie things up, and the Diamondbacks added another three runs to take the lead. Arizona’s bullpen had a hard time closing things out, as the Brewers scored two runs in the top of the 10th, but the Diamondbacks were able to pick up the win. Blake Walston was the only bright spot out of the bullpen, as he picked up the save and struck out three in the 10th.

Arizona is 83-66 overall and 3rd in the NL West, five games behind the Dodgers. They have a 25-18 series record and are coming off a series loss to the Brewers, losing two of three games.

When the Diamondbacks win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs per game. Their games have averaged 10.4 runs this season, and the over/under record is 86-56. The over has hit in two straight games, and their over/under record in games with a total of 11 runs is 0-2.

Merrill Kelly Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Merrill Kelly is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.26. Kelly’s WHIP for the season is 1.25, and he has turned in four quality starts. In his last outing, Kelly finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had gone seven innings in back-to-back outings. Kelly has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams this season and also have the league’s best on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

Over his last seven games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire, going 14/27 with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Suarez is batting .256 with 28 homers and 95 RBIs. Ketel Marte is hitting .293 for the season and has gone deep 31 times, which is 9th best in the league.

The Rockies Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Cubs scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Colorado was the +116 underdog at home going into the game.

Cal Quantrill had a rough outing, giving up two earned runs on four hits and issuing three walks. He only lasted json>2 1/3 innings, taking the loss. The Rockies’s offense was carried by Jacob Stallings, who went 1/3 with a homer and two RBIs.

Colorado’s straight-up record is 55-91 as underdogs and 2-2 as favorites. They have an overall series record of 12-31-4 and are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Rockies’ run line record is 74-76, with an average run margin of -1.5 runs per game.

Overall, Rockies games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and their over/under record is 73-74. Their most common total line is below 11 runs, with only 11.3% of their games having higher lines. Heading into today’s game, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West with a 57-93 record, 31.5 games behind the Dodgers.

Antonio Senzatela Gets The Start For The Rockies

Antonio Senzatela is coming off a season in which he made two starts and had an ERA of 4.70. His record in those starts was 0-1, and he did not record a quality start. Senzatela’s WHIP for the season was 1.17, and he allowed a total of three home runs. His batting average allowed was .241, and his FIP for the season was 8.08. Senzatela’s strikeout-to-walk ratio for the season was 2.0, and he averaged 4.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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At home this season, the Rockies are averaging 5.0 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. Overall, they are 21st in the league at 4.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 14th in the league, and have the 15th best OPS in the league. Colorado has been one of the worst teams in the league at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Michael Toglia comes into the game as the Rockies’ leader in home runs but is batting just .219. Ezequiel Tovar and Brenton Doyle are both batting .264 and have been two of the Rockies’ top power threats this season. Tovar has 23 homers, and Doyle has 22. Hunter Goodman has gone 4/11 in his last three games with two homers and seven RBIs. Aaron Schunk comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

Diamondbacks vs Rockies Prediction

Our prediction for this Diamondbacks vs. Rockies matchup is to take the under, as we see this game ending with a 6-4 win for the Diamondbacks. With the line sitting at 11 runs, there is a little bit of room for error, but we would not recommend going with the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Merrill Kelly going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Antonio Senzatela, we have him going just four innings and finishing with four K’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.