Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros Prediction 9/6/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (79-62) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (75-65) on Friday, September 6th. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on None. Both the Diamondbacks and Astros are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-159)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Astros have won 5 out of their last 6 home games.
  • Astros have scored an average of 5.5 runs per game in their last 6 home games.
  • Astros have a home record of 39-29, while the Diamondbacks have an away record of 40-31.
  • Astros have a division-leading record of 75-65, while the Diamondbacks are 79-62 and ranked 3rd in their division.
  • Astros have a balanced performance in their last 10 games with a 5-5 record, while the Diamondbacks have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks vs Astros

arizona diamondbacks nba

The Astros Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Giants scored one run in the bottom of the 9th. Arizona was the +133 underdog on the road going into this game.

Merrill Kelly was excellent for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out eight. However, the Diamondbacks couldnjson’t close things out, and Kevin Ginkel took the loss out of the bullpen. The Diamondbacks also wasted a big game from Geraldo Perdomo, who went 2/5 with a run scored.

Arizona has a 39-31 record at home and on the road this season. They are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and 5.0 games ahead of the Padres. As underdogs, the Diamondbacks are 34-36 overall and have covered the run line in 44 of 70 games. Their average run margin in wins is +4.1, while it drops to -3.7 in losses.

This season, the Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 10.2 runs, resulting in an 80-54 over/under record. In games with a 7.5-run total, the over has hit 11 times. Today’s total is lower than usual, as 83.0% of their games have had higher lines.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Brandon Pfaadt will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Dodgers and picked up the win. In that start, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up three earned runs. Looking back over his last four outings, Pfaadt has given up at least two homers in three of them. For the season, he has a record of 9-7 and an ERA of 4.32. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is 1.19. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, Pfaadt is averaging 8.7 strikeouts and just 1.91 walks.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona comes into today’s game as the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.4 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s top team in terms of on-base percentage and are 2nd in team batting average. The Diamondbacks are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in at 6th in the league.

Ketel Marte has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .298 with 30 homers and 81 RBIs. Eugenio Suarez has also been a big power threat, as his 24 homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Over his last six games, Suarez has gone 7/21 with three homers. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 8/24 in his last six games.

The Astros Took The Last Game Of This Series

Houston closed out their series vs. the Reds with a 1-0 loss. Heading into the game, the Astros were the heavy favorite at -155 on the money line. It was a good start for the Astros, as Hunter Brown went six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six. However, the Astros’ offense was held scoreless, and Houston’s bullpen took the loss. Bryan Abreu was charged with the run in the 7th inning.

Jeremy Pena had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored. The Astros’s other three hits were all singles. Houston’s offense also wasted a good game from Pena, as the Astros lost 1-0.

Today, the Astros will be looking to bounce back from a three-game losing streak as they host the Diamondbacks. Houston leads the AL West by 4.5 games over the Mariners with a 75-65 record. They have a 39-29 home record and are 4-0 in their last four home games. The Astros’ run line record is 32-36, and their average run margin in winning games is 3.7.

This season, 79.3% of Astros games have had over/under lines higher than today’s line of 7.5 runs. Their over/under record in games with a 7.5 run line is 8-16, and their overall O/U record is 55-80. The average total line for their games is 9 runs, and their series record is 24-19-2.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Left-hander Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. He has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 13-6 with an ERA of 3.11. Valdez most recently faced the Royals, where he finished with a no-decision, going seven innings and not giving up a run. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Valdez has one complete game shutout this year and 14 quality starts. His ERA at home is 3.21 compared to 3.98 on the road.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power hitter this season, as his 30 homers are good for 10th in the league and leads the team. Alvarez is also 2nd on the team in RBIs, coming into the game with 73. He is batting .309 for the season. Catcher Yainer Diaz has also been a key run producer for the Astros, as his 78 RBIs leads the team, and he is 5th in the league in home runs with 16.

Over his last five games, Jeremy Pena has gone 5/18, while Yordan Alvarez has two homers in this stretch but is just 4/18. Kyle Tucker is currently on a three-game hitting streak for the Astros, and Chas McCormick has a four-game streak going.

Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Astros matchup is that the Astros will pick up a 6-5 win. If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Astros on the money line, where the payout is at -159.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is currently 19th in our starting pitcher rankings. As for Brandon Pfaadt, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts and is second to last in our rankings.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.