The San Diego Padres (57-50) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (61-43) on Sunday, July 28th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Padres vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-160)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs

• In their last 15 games, the Orioles have scored an average of 4.4 runs per game, compared to the Padres’ 3.8 runs per game.
• The Orioles have a home record of 30-24, while the Padres have an away record of 31-22, indicating a strong home-field advantage for Baltimore.
• The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 6 home games, demonstrating recent strong performance at home.
• Baltimore has a league rank of 2nd in the AL East, whereas San Diego is 5th in the NL West, indicating a stronger overall season performance for the Orioles.
• The Orioles have a better division record of 20-9 compared to the Padres’ 15-17, showing stronger performance against divisional opponents.

Padres vs Orioles

San Diego cruised to a 9-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 7th inning, scoring four of their nine runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only four runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -113 on the money line.

Michael King got the win for the Padres, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Dean Kremer struggled on the mound for the Orioles, giving up seven hits and seven earned runs in six innings of work.

Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts each had three hits and three RBIs for the Padres’ offense. Jurickson Profar scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Jackson Merrill also had a two RBI game at the plate.

San Diego has been a strong underdog bet this season, going 32-14 against the spread in those games. Overall, they have covered the spread in 57 of their 107 games. The Padres are 57-50 this season and are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, holding the 2nd spot in the division.

The Padres have won seven straight games and are 31-22 on the road this season. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and they have gone over the total in two straight games. Overall, their over/under record is 56-50, and the O/U line for their games has averaged 8 runs.

Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres

Randy Vásquez gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 14 starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t give up a run. In that outing vs. the Nationals, he went six innings and gave up just one hit. Vásquez finished with the win in that game. Looking at his overall numbers, Vásquez has a record of 3-5 and an ERA of 4.17. Opposing batters are hitting .301 off the right-hander this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.74 strikeouts and just 1.96 walks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Padres are batting a league-best .263 this season and are also near the top of the league in both slugging percentage and on-base percentage. They are averaging 4.6 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. San Diego also has the 10th most home runs in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been on a tear of late, going 10/26 in his last six games with four homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .304 with 18 home runs, which is the best mark on the team and 14th best in the league. Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth, and Fernando Tatis Jr. are all tied for 2nd on the team with 14 homers apiece.

Today, the Orioles are looking to avoid a sweep by the Padres after losing the first two games of the series. Baltimore’s overall record is 61-43, which has them leading the AL East by one game over the Yankees. The Orioles have a 20-9 record in divisional games this season.

For the season, Orioles games have averaged 8 runs, and they have gone over the total in 55 of their 94 games. Against the run line, they are 15-6 as underdogs and 40-43 as favorites. Baltimore’s average run differential in wins is +3.8, while in losses, it’s -3.5.

Albert Suárez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Padres at home. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.48 ERA. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Suárez has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.22 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed five homers at home compared to just one on the road.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Anthony Santander has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 12/38 (.316) over his last nine games, with six homers and 11 RBIs during that stretch. For the season, he is batting .242, and his 29 homers are 4th in the league. Gunnar Henderson is also having a strong season at the plate, as he is batting .284 with 28 homers and 63 RBIs.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in the league in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .252, which is the 5th best mark in the league.

Padres vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -160. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for more value, the over/under for this one is sitting at 9.5 runs, and we would take the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Albert Suarez finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Randy Vasquez with five. Suarez is also projected to go deeper into the game, and we have him finishing with a better chance of picking up the win.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.