The San Diego Padres (50-50) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-37) on Saturday, July 20th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Padres vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-108)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• The Guardians have a strong home record of 31-11, indicating a high win rate when playing at home.
• In their last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 7 or more runs in 5 games, showing a potent offense.
• The Guardians have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, demonstrating recent home-field advantage.
• In their last game against the Padres, the Guardians won decisively with a score of 7-0.
• The Guardians have a better overall record (59-37) compared to the Padres (50-50), indicating stronger season performance.

Padres vs Guardians

Cleveland cruised to a 7-0 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 8th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Padres, they only had four hits in the game and didn’t score a run after the 5th inning.

Tanner Bibee pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going 5 2/3 innings and striking out three without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Matt Waldron had a rough outing for the Padres, taking the loss.

At the plate, David Fry was the star for Cleveland, going 3/3 with two runs scored and an RBI. Jose Ramirez also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. For the Padres, Luis Arraez went 2/4.

San Diego has struggled recently, losing three straight series and going 3-7 in their last 10 games. They are looking to get back to .500 today, as they are currently 50-50 overall. The Padres are 26-28 at home and 24-22 on the road, and they trail the Dodgers by eight games in the NL West.

For bettors, the Padres have been a good underdog play with a 28-14 run line record, but as favorites, they are 22-36. Their games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs have gone over 53 times and under 46 times, with an average of 8.9 runs per game.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run. In that July 13th start vs. the Braves, Cease went six innings, picking up the win and recording 11 strikeouts. Looking at his overall numbers, Cease has made 20 starts, and opponents are batting .206 this season. Cease’s ERA for the year is 3.99, along with a record of 8-8. For the season, he has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 11.66 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease has a WHIP of 1.08.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they are batting a collective .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. The Padres are also the top team in the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Jurickson Profar and Fernando Tatis Jr. are tied for the team lead in homers, with 14 apiece. Profar is also 1st on the team in RBIs, while Tatis Jr. is 6th in that category.

Profar has been in a bit of a slump of late, going just 6/36 in his last nine games, but he does have two homers during that stretch. Manny Machado has also gone deep twice in his last nine games while hitting .286. Over this stretch, he has 5 RBIs. Machado is 3rd on the team in RBIs for the season.

Cleveland has been a solid bet against the run line this season, posting a 49-47 record. At home, they are 22-20 vs. the run line. The Guardians have a season average of 8.6 runs per game, and the over has hit in 65.6% of their games. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in 15 of 28 games with that total.

The Guardians lead the AL Central by five games with a 59-37 record. They have a 31-11 home record and are currently on a three-game winning streak at home. As underdogs, they are 16-17, while as favorites, they are 43-20. In divisional matchups, they have gone 15-13 this season.

Gavin Williams Gets The Start For The Guardians

Gavin Williams will be making his third start of the season for the Guardians, and he is coming off a no-decision in his last outing against the Rays. In that start, he went five innings, giving up 2 runs and striking out 2. Williams has yet to record a win this season, as he also took a loss in his first start of the year vs. the White Sox.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 9th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers leads the team and is 5th in the league, while Naylor is right behind him with 22.

Angel Martinez and Bo Naylor are both looking to get back on track, as Martinez has gone 4/21 in his last five games, and Naylor is 3/14 in his last five. However, Martinez does come into the game on a three-game hitting streak. Jhonkensy Noel has gone 2/7 in his last four games, including a home run.

Padres vs Guardians Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians. With the Guardians at -108 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick for today’s game.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Williams finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. However, we have Williams finishing with a better ERA than Cease.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.