The San Diego Padres (69-53) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (44-78) on Friday, August 16th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.
Padres vs. Rockies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rockies (+150)
- Over/Under Prediction: Under 11.5 Runs
- The Rockies have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 6 home games.
- The Rockies have won 3 of their last 4 home games against the Padres.
- The Rockies have a higher home win percentage (27-32) compared to the Padres’ away win percentage (36-24).
- The Rockies have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last 4 home games.
- The Rockies have won 3 of their last 5 games overall.
Padres vs Rockies
The Padres Are Coming Off A Win
David Peralta had a big game for the Padres in their most recent win over the Pirates, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Padres really broke things open with a three-run 1st inning and added another three runs in the 3rd. San Diego’s offense was the hot topic going into the game, as they were coming off a series vs. the Diamondbacks in which they scored 31 runs.
Martin Perez started for the Padres, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on five hits and issued just one walk. The Padres also got a big game from Jake Cronenworth, who went 1/3 with a homer and three RBIs.
San Diego has been dominant on the road this season, boasting a 36-24 record, and they are currently on an eight-series winning streak. The Padres are 40-20 against the run line on the road, with an average run margin of +3.7 in wins.
The Padres are 69-53 overall and are looking to close the two-game gap between them and the Dodgers in the NL West. They have a 43-31 record as favorites and are 33-15 against the run line as underdogs. This season, their games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 65-56.
Matt Waldron Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Matt Waldron is starting for the Padres today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 7-9 with an ERA of 4.00. Waldron’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his 24 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Waldron most recently faced the Marlins, where he gave up five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had given up five earned runs in three straight starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Padres are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league in terms of batting average, as they are hitting a combined .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and have the best slugging percentage in the league.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as he is 1st on the team with 19 home runs and also leads the team with 72 RBIs. Profar comes into the game with a batting average of .295. Over his last nine games, Jackson Merrill has gone 12/34 with four homers and 10 RBIs. He is also on a six-game hitting streak.
The Rockies Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Rockies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with an 11-4 loss. Colorado was the +180 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things really got away from the Rockies in the 1st inning, as the Diamondbacks scored four runs in the inning. Colorado’s offense scored their only run in the 4th.
Tanner Gordon got the start for the Rockies and took the loss. He only lasted two-thirds of an inning, giving up three earned runs. Michael Toglia had a good day at the plate, going 2/4 with two doubles, a run scored, and an RBI.
Colorado’s struggles this season have been reflected in their 44-78 overall record, which has them in 5th place in the NL West, 27 games behind the Dodgers. The Rockies have lost three straight games heading into today’s matchup with the Padres, and they have a 13-27 record against NL West opponents.
When the Rockies win, they tend to win big, with an average run differential of +2.8 runs per game. However, in losses, they have an average run differential of -4.1 runs per game. Against the run line, they are 32-27 at home and 30-33 on the road. This season, their games have averaged 10.2 runs, and their over/under record is 62-57. Today’s over/under line of 11.5 runs is the highest of the season, as only 4.9% of their games have had higher total lines.
Cal Quantrill Gets The Start For The Rockies
Right-hander Cal Quantrill gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces his former team, the Padres. Quantrill has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 7-8 with an ERA of 4.56. So far, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up three earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Quantrill’s ERA on the road is 6.67, compared to 4.08 at home.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rockies are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been much better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, the Rockies are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of batting average on balls in play.
Colorado’s top two home run hitters are Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar, with Doyle leading the team with 60 RBIs and Tovar right behind him at 55. Both players have gone deep 19 times this season. Doyle has also been hot at the plate of late, going 8/22 in his last six games, including one home run. Brendan Rodgers is also on a hot streak, going 9/25 in his last six games.
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
With the money line payout, we really like the Rockies at +150 to pick up the win at home. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rockies, giving us some good value with the money line payout.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under line, we would take the under at 11.5 runs. However, we see this one being close to the line, and we would recommend sticking with a Rockies win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 16, 2024 Padres, Rockies