San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 8/28/2024

The San Diego Padres (76-58) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (65-67) on Wednesday, August 28th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 6:45 CT.

Padres vs. Cardinals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Cardinals (+112)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Cardinals have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • The Cardinals have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
  • The Cardinals have a better home record (34-32) compared to the Padres’ away record (39-26).
  • The Cardinals have won 3 of their last 4 games against the Padres.
  • The Cardinals have a .500 record (5-5) in their last 10 games, while the Padres have a .600 record (6-4) in their last 10 games.

Padres vs Cardinals

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San Diego picked up a 7-5 road win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring four runs in the 2nd and adding two more in the 7th. On the other side, the Cardinals scored two runs in the 1st and added three more in the 5th.

Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out four. Yuki Matsui got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save. John King took the loss for St. Louis out of the bullpen.

Manny Machado and Luis Arraez each had three hits and an RBI for the Padres, while Jackson Merrill scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/4. Paul Goldschmidt had a huge game for the Cardinals, going 3/3 with a home run and two RBIs.

San Diego’s overall series record is 26-14-4, and they have won the first two games of this series vs. the Cardinals. The Padres are 76-58 overall, and they have an even 20-20 record in divisional games this season. They are currently 3rd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers.

On the run line, the Padres are 43-22 on the road and 70-64 overall this season. Their run line record in the last two games is 2-0, and their over/under record for the season is 73-60. The O/U line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9.0 runs per game.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Mets, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made 13 starts and has a record of 4-4. His ERA for the season is 4.43, along with a WHIP of 1.26. Opposing batters are hitting .260 off Musgrove this season. Out of his 13 starts, Musgrove has turned in five quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.31 strikeouts and 2.49 walks.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into the game as the league’s top hitting team, with a team batting average of .265. They are also the top home run hitting team in the league and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 11th in the MLB. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top run producer this season, as he leads the team with 80 RBIs and is 2nd on the team with 21 homers. Profar is batting .287 for the season. Manny Machado is right behind him in terms of RBIs (78) and is 1st on the team with 22 homers. Machado has been especially hot of late, going 8/20 in his last five games with two homers.

St. Louis, who are 65-67 and 3rd in the NL Central, are looking to avoid a sweep by the Padres today. They trail the Brewers by 10.5 games in the division, having lost the first two games of this series. The Cardinals have an overall series record of 21-18-4 this season.

When the Cardinals are the favorite, they are 32-34 straight up, but their run line record is 21-45. As underdogs, they are 33-33 straight up and 43-23 against the run line. Their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have gone over 28 out of 33 times this season, contributing to their overall over/under record of 63-66.

Andre Pallante Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Cardinals starter Andre Pallante has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 6-6. His ERA for the season is 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.29. Pallante’s last outing was on August 23rd vs. the Twins, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Pallante’s ERA at home is 3.43, compared to 3.77 on the road.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 10th in the league, but their slugging percentage of .388 is just 22nd in the MLB.

St. Louis will be looking for better production from Paul Goldschmidt, who is batting just .231 for the season. However, he does have 20 homers, which is 2nd on the team. Goldschmidt is currently on a three-game hitting streak. Masyn Winn has been hot of late, going 14/38 in his last nine games, but he has yet to homer during that stretch.

Padres vs Cardinals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Cardinals game is to take the Cardinals on the money line at +112. We have the Cardinals winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, but we would lean towards the over if you’re looking for a run total prediction.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Joe Musgrove is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Andre Pallante, who is projected to finish with four. However, we have Pallante finishing with fewer earned runs allowed, and he has a better chance of picking up a win compared to Musgrove.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.