Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7/11/2024

The Los Angeles Dodgers (55-38) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (60-32) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on SNLA. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:05 CT.

Dodgers vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-149)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Phillies have won 6 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent performance.
  • The Phillies have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive strength.
  • The Phillies have a home record of 35-14, demonstrating their dominance at home.
  • The Phillies have outscored the Dodgers 14-4 in their last two head-to-head matchups.
  • The Phillies have a league-leading record of 60-32, indicating overall superior performance this season.

Dodgers vs Phillies

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Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a late lead, as the Dodgers could only muster one run in the 8th inning. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -135 on the money line.

Gavin Stone got the start for the Dodgers, going just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four runs and took the loss. Cristopher Sanchez put together a good outing for the Phillies, getting the win after going six innings and giving up two earned runs.

Kyle Schwarber hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs. Trea Turner also had a two-hit game for the Phillies, scoring a run and driving in a run.

Los Angeles is favored in today’s game against the Phillies, with the over/under line set at 9 runs. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 6-5 when the total is 9 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.9 runs, resulting in a 49-44 over/under record.

The Dodgers have a 55-38 overall record and lead the NL West by 7.5 games. Against the run line, they are 46-47, with a +1.0 run margin per game. As favorites, they have a 53-32 straight-up record, but as underdogs, they are 2-6.

Landon Knack Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Right-hander Landon Knack is getting the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 2.86. Knack’s WHIP for the season is currently .98. In his last outing, he took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had put together three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Knack has made one quality start this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.05 strikeouts and just 2.34 walks.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 28 home runs are the 2nd most in the league and the best mark on the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting .317 for the season and is 5th in the league with 66 RBIs. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as his 19 homers are 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. Hernandez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, batting .300 over his last 10 games.

Overall, the Dodgers have been one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 3rd in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, the Dodgers are the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the 2nd best OPS in the league.

Philadelphia has a 60-32 record, leading the NL East by 8.5 games over the Braves. They have won the first two games of the series against the Dodgers and have an 18-8-5 series record this season. The Phillies are 15-10 in divisional games.

On the run line, the Phillies are 48-44 overall and 40-36 as favorites. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs, and when the O/U line is 9, they are 2-6-1. This season, 77.2% of their games have had lower total lines than 9 runs.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Dodgers at home. Nola has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 to go along with a 3.48 ERA. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.47 strikeouts and just 1.98 walks. In his last outing, Nola picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had given up three earned runs in three straight outings.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Philadelphia has been one of the league’s top offensive teams this season, as they are 4th in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .260, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. The Phillies have been especially good at avoiding strikeouts this season.

Over the team’s last nine games, Trea Turner has been on fire, going 17/38 with five homers and 16 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber and Rafael Marchán are also on hitting streaks coming into the game. Schwarber is 2nd on the team with 18 homers but is batting just .250 for the season.

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line, with the payout sitting at -149. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Phillies, meaning you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.

If you are looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, we have Aaron Nola as the better option. We have Nola going for nine strikeouts compared to Landon Knack, who we have finishing with four.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.