Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/31/2024

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (58-51) on Wednesday, July 31st. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on SNLA. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.

Dodgers vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-129)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Padres have won 8 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • In their last 15 games, the Padres have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game, showcasing their offensive strength.
  • The Padres have a home record of 27-28, while the Dodgers have an away record of 29-25, suggesting a slight home-field advantage for the Padres.
  • In their last head-to-head game against the Dodgers, the Padres won 6-5, showing they can compete directly with their opponent.
  • The Padres have outscored their opponents by a total of 78-53 in their last 15 games, demonstrating both offensive and defensive prowess.

Dodgers vs Padres

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San Diego picked up a 6-5 win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring five of their six runs. As for the Dodgers, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added four more in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Padres were at +114 on the money line.

Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres, as he homered twice, scored two runs, and finished with two RBIs. Jackson Merrill also had a two RBI game at the plate. For the Dodgers, Cavan Biggio hit a home run and drove in two runs.

Robert Suarez got the win for the Padres out of the bullpen, while Alex Vesia took the loss for Los Angeles.

Los Angeles is 63-45 overall and leads the NL West by 5.5 games over the Padres, heading into game two of their series in San Diego. The Dodgers have a 21-17 record against divisional opponents and are 29-25 on the road this season.

When favored, the Dodgers have a 59-36 record, but as underdogs, they are just 4-9. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs this season, resulting in a 56-52 over/under record. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs.

Clayton Kershaw Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Clayton Kershaw is on the mound for the Dodgers today as they take on the Padres. This will be Kershaw’s first road start of the season. In his first outing of the year, he took on the Giants and went 4 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and striking out 6.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 homers are 2nd in the MLB and the best mark on the Dodgers. Ohtani is also batting .311 for the season and comes in with a three-game home run streak. Teoscar Hernandez is also on a three-game homer streak and has 22 homers for the season, which is 9th in the league.

Over his last 10 games, Gavin Lux has gone 14/29 with three homers and nine RBIs. For the season, Lux is batting .262 with 17 homers. The Dodgers have been one of the league’s top offenses this season, as they are 3rd in home runs and have the best on-base percentage in the league.

San Diego has been on a roll, winning four straight games and three straight series. They are 8-2 in their last 10 games and are 5.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West with a 58-51 record. The Padres have a 19-12-3 series record and a 32-29 record as favorites.

On the run line, the Padres are 38-16 on the road and 20-35 at home. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, resulting in a 58-50 over/under record. This season, 58.7% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease has been pitching well lately, as he has picked up the win in each of his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Nationals and didn’t give up a run in nine innings of work. Cease finished with nine strikeouts in that outing. Cease has one complete game shutout this year. For the season, Cease has a record of 10-8 and an ERA of 3.50. Opponents are batting .188 off Cease this year. He has made 22 starts, 13 of which were quality starts. Cease’s ERA at home is 3.46, compared to 4.99 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Padres have the best team batting average in the league at .264, and they are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. San Diego is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 18 homers are the best mark on the team and 13th best in the league. He is also 10th in the league with 68 RBIs. Profar’s strong season has come with a solid batting average of .302. Manny Machado has also been a big run producer for the Padres this season, as he is 3rd on the team with 58 RBIs and has gone deep 16 times.

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Dodgers vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line at -129. We actually have the Padres winning this one by a score of 5-4. With the payout for a Padres win at -129, we feel there is some good value in picking up a win.

Looking at some potential player props, Clayton Kershaw is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him 13th among starters. As for Dylan Cease, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which has him as the seventh best among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.