San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9/7/2024

The San Francisco Giants (69-73) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (81-62) on Saturday, September 7th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on NBCS. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Giants are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:40 CT.

Giants vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Giants (+129)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • The Giants have a strong away record with 29 wins on the road this season.
  • In their last 15 games, the Giants have scored 5 or more runs in 6 games, showing offensive potential.
  • The Giants have won 3 out of their last 5 away games, indicating recent success on the road.
  • In head-to-head matchups against the Padres this season, the Giants have won 4 out of 7 games.
  • The Giants have a better overall record against teams with winning records, with 22 wins and 22 losses in such games.

Giants vs Padres

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San Diego cruised to an easy 5-1 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 1st inning, scoring three of their five runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -213 on the money line.

Manny Machado was the difference for the Padres, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a two-hit game and scored two runs. Michael Conforto was the only Giants hitter to have more than one hit.

Michael King pitched well for the Padres in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts and got the win. Mason Black struggled on the mound for the Giants, giving up four earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

San Francisco’s run line record is 69-73, and they have covered the run line in three straight road games. Their average run margin on the road is -0.5, and they have a 38-32 run line record on the road. The Giants are 25-41 as the underdog and 44-32 as the favorite this season.

The Giants are currently on a four-series losing streak and have dropped five straight games as the underdog. Overall, they have a 21-20-3 series record. The over has hit in 88% of their games with a total of 7 runs, and their O/U record when the line is 7 runs is 5-7-2.

Logan Webb Gets The Start For The Giants

Giants starter Logan Webb will be looking to rebound from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, where he gave up six earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up four home runs. Webb took the loss in the game. Before that, he had turned in three straight solid outings, giving up two earned runs or fewer in each of those starts. Webb’s ERA for the season is 3.43, along with a record of 11-9. For the year, he has one complete game shutout and 18 quality starts. Per nine innings, Webb is averaging 7.55 strikeouts and just 2.16 walks.

Giants Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Giants offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This season, they are batting a collective .239, which is 15th in the league. San Francisco’s team on-base percentage of .308 is 14th in the MLB. The Giants have been led by Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos in terms of power, as Chapman has 22 homers, and Ramos is right behind him with 20.

Over his last five games, Mike Yastrzemski is just 4/17, but he does have two home runs in this stretch. Tyler Fitzgerald has gone 7/19 in his last five games but has yet to homer. Jerar Encarnacion comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak.

San Diego has an overall series record of 28-14-4 this season, and they are 81-62 overall, sitting in 2nd place in the NL West, four games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have a 6-4 record in their last ten games and won the first game of their series against the Giants.

When the total line is set at 7 runs, San Diego’s games have gone over in 9 of the 12 matchups this season. Their over/under record for the year is 76-65, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game. On the run line, the Padres are 44-26 on the road and 29-44 at home, with an overall record of 73-70.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Dylan Cease is starting for the Padres today as he takes on the Giants at home. Cease has made 29 starts this season and has a record of 12-10 with an ERA of 3.62. This year, he has one complete game shutout and 14 quality starts. Cease’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.08, and he is averaging 11.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Cease’s last outing came on September 1st, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. He has not taken a loss in three straight outings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are the top-ranked team in terms of batting average and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. The Padres are also near the top of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar come into the game with 25 homers apiece, which is the best mark on the team. Machado is also 11th in the league with 89 RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Machado is batting .302 with four homers, and he has gone 13/43. Luis Arraez has been even better of late, going 16/38 in his last nine games. Arraez is batting .310 for the season and has the 2nd best batting average on the team.

Giants vs Padres Prediction

We see the Giants coming away with a 6-5 road win over the Padres. Given that the Giants are the underdogs in this one, we like them to win straight up, and you can get them at +129 on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Webb finishing with five strikeouts, which has him ranked 16th among starters today. As for Dylan Cease, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which has him third overall.

Offensively, the Giants are projected to finish with 11 team strikeouts, the most in the league today. Meanwhile, the Padres are projected to finish with six, which is the fewest in the league.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.