The Cleveland Guardians (72-50) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (70-52) on Saturday, August 17th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on FOX. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 6:15 CT.
Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-115)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Brewers have won 7 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
- Milwaukee has a home record of 36-24, showing they perform well at home.
- The Brewers have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- Milwaukee has a winning streak of 3 games, suggesting momentum is on their side.
- The Brewers have outscored their opponents by 12 runs in their last 5 games.
Guardians vs Brewers
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs. Guardians series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -107 and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Brewers offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out 10 times.
Cleveland’s starter, Gavin Williams, went just four innings and gave up five runs while taking the loss. Aaron Civale put together a good outing for the Brewers, getting the win after going six innings and not giving up a run.
Jose Ramirez and David Fry each homered for the Guardians, while Will Brennan went 3/4 with an RBI. Willy Adames hit the game’s only other home run for the Brewers.
Cleveland’s overall run line record is 60-62, with a 33-31 record on the road and 27-31 at home. They are currently 72-50 and hold a three-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central. The Guardians have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games and have a series record of 23-11-5 this season.
This season, 68% of the Guardians’ games have had over/under lines higher than today’s 7.5-run total. In games with a total of 7.5 runs, Cleveland has a 16-16 record. Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 22-24 as underdogs and 50-26 when favored.
Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today as he faces the Brewers on the road. Bibee has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 3.39 ERA. So far, he has turned in eight quality starts and is averaging 9.68 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .222 off Bibee this season.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. This is a result of averaging 4.9 runs per game at home and 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the MLB, and are 12th in home runs. Cleveland has done a good job of avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Over the last seven games, Will Brennan has been swinging a hot bat for the Guardians, going 11/25. However, he has yet to hit a home run during this stretch. Jhonkensy Noel has hit three homers over his last six games, but is just 4/18 during this stretch. José Ramírez is the team’s top power threat, as he is 6th in the league with 32 homers and is 2nd in the league with 100 RBIs.
When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.6, contributing to their 64-58 run line record. As underdogs, they are 38-18 ATS, but as favorites, they are 26-40 ATS. Milwaukee’s games have gone over the line 66 times out of 115, and their O/U record in games with a 7.5-run total is 19-6.
With a 70-52 record, the Brewers are ten games ahead of the Cardinals in the NL Central. They have won three straight games, including the first game of this series vs. the Guardians. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 21-14-4.
Freddy Peralta Gets The Start For The Brewers
Freddy Peralta is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gets the start today vs. the Guardians. In that start, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Peralta has made 24 starts this year and has a record of 7-7 with an ERA of 4.11. Looking at his overall numbers, Peralta has a WHIP of 1.22 and opponents are batting .218 this year vs. the right-hander. Peralta has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed 21 homers and is averaging 3.36 walks per nine innings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Brewers offense is 8th in the league at 4.8 runs per game. This is also where they are at in terms of home runs, as they are 16th in the league. As a team, they are batting .254, which is 7th in the league. Milwaukee has been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season and are 3rd in the league in walks. The Brewers also have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league and have an elite team BABIP of .31.
Over his last five games, William Contreras has gone 5/17 with three home runs. This has helped him move into the team’s 2nd spot in RBIs. Willy Adames comes into the game with a team-high 84 RBIs, which is 7th in the league. Adames also leads the team with 22 home runs.
Guardians vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Guardians vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -115. Offensively, we have the Brewers finishing with six runs compared to the Guardians with five.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Freddy Peralta has the fifth-best projected hits allowed among today’s starters and is a good option for a win, with his strikeout numbers being average. As for Tanner Bibee, he is projected to finish with the sixth-fewest innings and has his strikeout numbers being good.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 17, 2024 Brewers, Guardians