The Cleveland Guardians (72-51) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (71-52) on Sunday, August 18th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSGL. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.
Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-122)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Brewers have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- Brewers have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.
- Brewers have outscored the Guardians 7-4 in their last 2 head-to-head games.
- Brewers have a better home record (37-24) compared to the Guardians’ away record (34-31).
Guardians vs Brewers
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Brewers vs. Guardians series. Milwaukee went into the matchup as slight favorites at -125 and squeaked out a 2-1 win. The Brewers offense only had four hits but got to Cleveland starter Tanner Bibee, who gave up just one run in five innings of work.
Cleveland’s only run came in the 4th inning, and they had just seven hits for the game. After scoring their only run, the Guardians had just two baserunners and didn’t get a hit after the 5th inning.
Freddy Peralta pitched well for the Brewers in this one, going six innings and striking out three. He gave up just one run and two hits. Devin Williams closed things out for Milwaukee’s bullpen.
For the season, the Guardians’ games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have gone 17-15, and their overall over/under record is 58-56. Cleveland’s average run margin in winning games is +3.3, while in losses, it’s -3.1. They are 34-31 on the road and have a 38-20 record at home.
Today, the Guardians are looking to avoid a sweep by the Brewers after dropping the first two games of the series. Despite this, they still hold a 2.0-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central, with an overall record of 72-51.
Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians
Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-7 with a 3.71 ERA. Lively’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.21, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Lively finished with a no-decision, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Lively has been the long ball, as he has given up 21 homers this season.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 32 homers leads the team and is 5th best in the league, while Naylor is 2nd on the team with 27 home runs. Ramirez’s 100 RBIs is also the 2nd best mark in the league. Naylor is currently on a three-game hitting streak and went 4/15 with three homers in his last five games. Will Brennan has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/22 in his last six games.
Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the MLB. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .239 and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
As the favorite, the Brewers are 39-28, and they have an overall series record of 21-14-4. Milwaukee is currently on a four-game winning streak and leads the NL Central by ten games over the Cardinals. The Brewers have an average run margin of 3.5 runs per win and -2.8 runs per loss.
This season, the over has hit in 26 of 45 games with an 8.5-run total line for the Brewers. Overall, their games have gone over the total in 66 of 116 games. Milwaukee’s run line record is 64-59, and they are 29-32 vs. the run line at home.
Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers
Milwaukee is sending right-hander Colin Rea to the mound today vs. the Guardians. Rea has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 10-4. His ERA for the season is 3.72, along with a WHIP of 1.20. So far, Rea has turned in seven quality starts, and his ERA at home is 4.38 compared to 3.30 on the road. In his last outing, Rea took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed more than two earned runs in four straight outings.
Brewers Offense Breakdown
Currently, the Brewers are 9th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the Brewers are batting .253, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Milwaukee is also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and walks.
Willy Adames has been the Brewers’ top power threat this season, as his 22 home runs are the best on the team and 14th best in the MLB. He is also 8th in the league with 84 RBIs. Adames is currently on a three-game hitting streak. William Contreras has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 with four homers over his last six games.
Guardians vs Brewers Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Brewers vs. Guardians matchup is that the Brewers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. We are also predicting that the Brewers will have a higher run total than the Guardians, with the Guardians finishing with five runs.
If you’re looking to place a bet on this game, we would recommend taking the Brewers on the money line, as they are currently sitting at -122. Looking at the starting pitchers, Colin Rea is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 18, 2024 Brewers, Guardians